CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT#108 in the world · win 2:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Noir Verse#124 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2WBT ban
54%43%
WBT · 9 mapsedge WBT +11%Noir Verse · 10 maps
AnubisWBT pick
57%42%
WBT · 10 mapsedge WBT +15%Noir Verse · 8 maps
MirageNoir Verse pick
58%62%
WBT · 8 mapsnearly even -4%Noir Verse · 9 maps
AncientNoir Verse ban
55%46%
WBT · 7 mapsedge WBT +9%Noir Verse · 9 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
57%50%
WBT · 3 mapsedge WBT +7%Noir Verse · 10 maps
CacheWBT ban
50%55%
WBT · 2 mapsedge Noir Verse +5%Noir Verse · 7 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%44%
WBT · 1 mapedge WBT +16%Noir Verse · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT remove Cache
2. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
3. PickWBT take Anubis
4. PickNoir Verse take Mirage
5. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
6. BanWBT remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (60% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct8:13
WBT 44%Noir Verse 56%
The model gave 56% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
WBT 53%Noir Verse 47%
The model gave 53% on WBT — the map was taken by WBT.
Anubisprediction correct13:5
WBT 65%Noir Verse 35%
The model gave 65% on WBT — the map was taken by WBT.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT · 52%
Series resultWBT 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3