WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 9 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2WISP pick
40%40%
WISP · 1 mapnearly even +0%DYNASTIYA · 1 map
CacheDYNASTIYA ban
40%50%
WISP · 1 mapedge DYNASTIYA +10%DYNASTIYA · 0 maps
MirageWISP ban
50%40%
WISP · 0 mapsedge WISP +10%DYNASTIYA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWISP remove Mirage
2. BanDYNASTIYA remove Cache
3. PickWISP take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
WISP 47%DYNASTIYA 53%
The model gave 53% on DYNASTIYA — the map was taken by WISP.
Cacheprediction missed13:7
WISP 43%DYNASTIYA 57%
The model gave 57% on DYNASTIYA — the map was taken by WISP.
Model check result
Model favoriteWISP · 50%
Series resultWISP 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2