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CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
WW#123 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2WW pick
53%41%
WW · 15 mapsedge WW +12%Leo · 23 maps
NukeLeo pick
56%83%
WW · 5 mapsedge Leo +27%Leo · 20 maps
MirageLeo ban
56%36%
WW · 12 mapsedge WW +20%Leo · 10 maps
AncientWW ban
50%43%
WW · 4 mapsedge WW +7%Leo · 17 maps
AnubisLeo ban
50%38%
WW · 6 mapsedge WW +12%Leo · 9 maps
CacheWW ban
38%46%
WW · 4 mapsedge Leo +8%Leo · 9 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%25%
WW · 0 mapsedge WW +25%Leo · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWW remove Ancient
2. BanLeo remove Mirage
3. PickWW take Dust2
4. PickLeo take Nuke
5. BanLeo remove Anubis
6. BanWW remove Cache
DeciderDefault (50% / 25%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
WW 65%Leo 35%
The model gave 65% on WW — the map was taken by Leo.
Cacheprediction missed13:11
WW 38%Leo 62%
The model gave 62% on Leo — the map was taken by WW.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
WW 57%Leo 43%
The model gave 57% on WW — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteWW · 53%
Series resultLeo 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3