CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yawara#156 in the world · win 1:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Yawara pick
50%67%
Yawara · 2 mapsedge UNO MILLE +17%UNO MILLE · 2 maps
InfernoUNO MILLE pick
43%60%
Yawara · 3 mapsedge UNO MILLE +17%UNO MILLE · 1 map
AnubisUNO MILLE ban
50%50%
Yawara · 2 mapsnearly even +0%UNO MILLE · 0 maps
MirageYawara ban
60%60%
Yawara · 1 mapnearly even +0%UNO MILLE · 1 map
AncientUNO MILLE ban
40%50%
Yawara · 1 mapedge UNO MILLE +10%UNO MILLE · 0 maps
DefaultYawara ban
50%60%
Yawara · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%UNO MILLE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYawara remove Default
2. BanUNO MILLE remove Ancient
3. PickYawara take Dust2
4. PickUNO MILLE take Inferno
5. BanUNO MILLE remove Anubis
6. BanYawara remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Yawara 40%UNO MILLE 60%
The model gave 60% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by Yawara.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 53%
Series resultYawara 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1