NODWIN Clutch Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Young Ninjas#103 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:1
WAZABI#251 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientWAZABI ban
67%33%
Young Ninjas · 5 mapsedge Young Ninjas +34%WAZABI · 2 maps
AnubisYoung Ninjas ban
44%33%
Young Ninjas · 5 mapsedge Young Ninjas +11%WAZABI · 2 maps
Dust2Young Ninjas pick
36%50%
Young Ninjas · 7 mapsedge WAZABI +14%WAZABI · 0 maps
NukeWAZABI pick
63%60%
Young Ninjas · 4 mapsnearly even +3%WAZABI · 1 map
MirageYoung Ninjas ban
33%50%
Young Ninjas · 2 mapsedge WAZABI +17%WAZABI · 0 maps
OverpassWAZABI ban
60%50%
Young Ninjas · 1 mapedge Young Ninjas +10%WAZABI · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanYoung Ninjas remove Mirage
2. BanWAZABI remove Ancient
3. PickYoung Ninjas take Dust2
4. PickWAZABI take Nuke
5. BanWAZABI remove Overpass
6. BanYoung Ninjas remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Young Ninjas 50%WAZABI 50%
The model gave 50% on Young Ninjas — the map was taken by WAZABI.
Model check result
Model favoriteWAZABI · 57%
Series resultWAZABI 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1