CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
RUSH#225 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
50%40%
your end · 2 mapsedge your end +10%RUSH · 1 map
Dust2your end ban
33%50%
your end · 2 mapsedge RUSH +17%RUSH · 0 maps
MirageRUSH pick
50%50%
your end · 0 mapsnearly even +0%RUSH · 2 maps
NukeRUSH ban
50%33%
your end · 0 mapsedge your end +17%RUSH · 2 maps
AnubisRUSH ban
60%50%
your end · 1 mapedge your end +10%RUSH · 0 maps
Cacheyour end ban
50%60%
your end · 0 mapsedge RUSH +10%RUSH · 1 map
Infernoyour end pick
60%50%
your end · 1 mapedge your end +10%RUSH · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banyour end remove Cache
2. BanRUSH remove Anubis
3. Pickyour end take Inferno
4. PickRUSH take Mirage
5. BanRUSH remove Nuke
6. Banyour end remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
your end 63%RUSH 37%
The model gave 63% on your end — the map was taken by your end.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
your end 31%RUSH 69%
The model gave 69% on RUSH — the map was taken by RUSH.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
your end 60%RUSH 40%
The model gave 60% on your end — the map was taken by your end.
Model check result
Model favoriteRUSH · 54%
Series resultyour end 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3