Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-1445u
ROI
-10.6%
win rate
40%
bets
341
drawdown
173.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-140u
period 6top-up-465u
period 5profit withdrawn+335u
period 4top-up-189u
period 3top-up-423u
period 2top-up-377u
period 1top-up-185u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 341 | 40% | -275 | -8.1% | 36.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 341 | 40% | -280 | -8.6% | 36.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 341 | 40% | -568 | -9.1% | 72.2% | Select |
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1150 | -100% | 115% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 341 | 40% | -1445 | -10.6% | 173.3% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 341 | 40% | -2819 | -12.9% | 314.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 341, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 40 | won | +57 | -445 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 42 | lost | -42 | -502 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 44 | lost | -44 | -460 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 47 | lost | -47 | -415 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 42 | won | +90 | -368 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 39 | won | +57 | -458 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 42 | lost | -42 | -515 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | Wanted Goons | 2.63 | 38 | won | +63 | -474 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Isurus | 2.08 | 40 | lost | -40 | -536 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | 6666 | 2.07 | 38 | won | +41 | -496 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 35 | won | +72 | -537 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 37 | lost | -37 | -609 |
| 09.10.26 | Villainous – Reign Above | Villainous | 2.20 | 35 | won | +41 | -572 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | Saint Sinners | 2.54 | 32 | won | +50 | -614 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 30 | won | +33 | -663 |
| 08.10.26 | EAC – PURE | EAC | 2.12 | 32 | lost | -32 | -696 |
| 08.10.26 | ENCE – LFO 10 | LFO 10 | 2.19 | 34 | lost | -34 | -664 |
| 08.10.26 | Isurus – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.07 | 36 | lost | -36 | -630 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.81 | 33 | won | +59 | -595 |
| 07.10.26 | Lazer Cats – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.07 | 31 | won | +33 | -654 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 29 | won | +40 | -687 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 30 | lost | -30 | -727 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.29 | 29 | won | +37 | -697 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.11 | 30 | lost | -30 | -733 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | SINQU | 2.54 | 32 | lost | -32 | -703 |
| 07.10.26 | benched gods – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 33 | lost | -33 | -672 |
| 06.10.26 | G2 – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.48 | 31 | won | +46 | -638 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | NT | 2.15 | 29 | won | +34 | -684 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 31 | lost | -31 | -718 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 32 | lost | -32 | -687 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.52 | 34 | lost | -34 | -655 |
| 02.10.26 | BC.Game – Sashi | Sashi | 2.12 | 36 | lost | -36 | -620 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 38 | lost | -38 | -584 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.23 | 40 | lost | -40 | -547 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Sashi | 2.27 | 42 | lost | -42 | -507 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | aimclub | 2.04 | 44 | lost | -44 | -465 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.09 | 47 | lost | -47 | -420 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 49 | lost | -49 | -374 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.15 | 52 | lost | -52 | -325 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 48 | won | +81 | -273 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 50 | lost | -50 | -355 |
| 30.09.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.45 | 28 | lost | -28 | -305 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | MASONIC | 2.40 | 26 | won | +37 | -276 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 25 | won | +31 | -313 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.17 | 26 | lost | -26 | -344 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 27 | lost | -27 | -318 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 29 | lost | -29 | -290 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Procyon | 2.77 | 27 | won | +47 | -262 |
| 27.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – magic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.27 | 25 | won | +32 | -308 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | Mai Tai | 3.22 | 26 | lost | -26 | -340 |
| 27.09.26 | Rare Atom – The Huns | The Huns | 2.62 | 24 | won | +39 | -314 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | INFINITE | 2.76 | 26 | lost | -26 | -353 |
| 27.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Phantom Academy | Phantom Academy | 2.70 | 24 | won | +40 | -328 |
| 26.09.26 | magic – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 2.33 | 25 | lost | -25 | -368 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | Lilmix | 2.61 | 26 | lost | -26 | -343 |
| 26.09.26 | HAVU – Inner Circle Academy | HAVU | 2.23 | 27 | lost | -27 | -317 |
| 26.09.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.41 | 26 | won | +36 | -289 |
| 26.09.26 | Nemesis – Sashi | Sashi | 2.22 | 27 | lost | -27 | -326 |
| 26.09.26 | Villainous – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.14 | 26 | won | +29 | -299 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | my life be like | 3.44 | 27 | lost | -27 | -328 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.