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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-4481u
ROI
-7.9%
win rate
40%
bets
3606
drawdown
381.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-983u
period 6top-up-998u
period 5top-up-998u
period 4profit withdrawn+384u
period 3top-up-896u
period 2top-up-987u
period 1top-up-4u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale5347%-786-37.6%83.5%Select
Flat (10 units)211341%-1809-8.6%176.7%Select
1% of bankroll360640%-2388-8.9%232.1%Selected
2% of bankroll360640%-3465-8.4%323.6%Select
5% of bankroll360640%-4481-7.9%381.2%Select
10% of bankroll360640%-5704-10.1%434.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 3606, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.421lost-1-3481
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.191lost-1-3481
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.671won+1-3480
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.051won+1-3481
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.211lost-1-3482
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.091won+1-3481
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.781lost-1-3482
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.011lost-1-3481
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.291won+1-3480
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.111lost-1-3481
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.901lost-1-3480
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersWalczaki2.451lost-1-3479
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.161lost-1-3478
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.041lost-1-3477
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.301lost-1-3476
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.041won+1-3475
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.111lost-1-3476
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.101lost-1-3475
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademyBAKS2.241won+1-3474
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.121won+1-3475
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.181lost-1-3476
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.261lost-1-3475
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.351lost-1-3474
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.011lost-1-3473
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.691lost-1-3471
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.711won+2-3470
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.091lost-1-3472
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.681lost-1-3471
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.182lost-2-3469
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.181won+2-3468
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.452lost-2-3470
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.042lost-2-3468
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.072won+2-3466
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.021won+1-3468
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.542lost-2-3470
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.042lost-2-3468
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.062won+2-3466
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.182lost-2-3468
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.612lost-2-3466
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.092lost-2-3465
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.122won+3-3463
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.402lost-2-3466
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.202won+2-3465
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.642lost-2-3467
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.452won+2-3465
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.522lost-2-3467
11.10.26FOKUS – Nordic PartnersNordic Partners2.692won+3-3465
11.10.26Imperial – NRGNRG3.042lost-2-3468
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.902lost-2-3466
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.312lost-2-3465
11.10.26Kaleido – Chinggis WarriorsKaleido2.502lost-2-3463
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.542won+3-3461
11.10.26megoshort – Noir Versemegoshort2.122won+2-3464
11.10.26Fire Flux – GothicGothic2.592lost-2-3466
11.10.265star – Chinggis Warriors5star2.022lost-2-3464
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.552lost-2-3462
11.10.26FlyQuest – AbyssalAbyssal2.522lost-2-3460
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.142won+2-3458
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.072lost-2-3460
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.142lost-2-3458
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.