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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-2729u
ROI
-8.9%
win rate
41%
bets
870
drawdown
287.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-359u
period 6top-up-624u
period 5top-up-331u
period 4top-up-202u
period 3top-up-730u
period 2top-up-431u
period 1top-up-51u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)87041%-519-6%58.4%Select
1% of bankroll87041%-534-6.5%59%Select
Martingale1323%-976-87.1%97.7%Select
2% of bankroll87041%-1089-7%118.5%Select
5% of bankroll87041%-2729-8.9%287.3%Select
10% of bankroll87041%-4772-12.7%487.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 870, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5734lost-34-1729
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.4235lost-35-1695
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4133won+47-1659
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0135lost-35-1706
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2933won+42-1671
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1135lost-35-1714
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0433won+34-1679
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4535lost-35-1713
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6136lost-36-1679
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1233won+70-1642
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4531won+44-1712
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3732lost-32-1756
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.4934lost-34-1724
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0936lost-36-1690
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5138lost-38-1654
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1036won+39-1617
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7038lost-38-1656
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsWanted Goons2.6335won+57-1618
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0133won+33-1675
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.2731won+39-1708
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonIsurus2.0833lost-33-1748
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2934lost-34-1715
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3436lost-36-1681
09.10.26Misa – 666666662.0734won+37-1644
09.10.26The Huns – Alter EgoThe Huns2.0136lost-36-1681
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2434won+42-1645
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7036lost-36-1687
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0833won+68-1651
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0534lost-34-1719
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2032won+39-1684
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeLP2.2930won+39-1723
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenSaint Sinners2.5428won+43-1762
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5826won+41-1806
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0725won+26-1847
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4326lost-26-1874
08.10.26EAC – PUREEAC2.1227lost-27-1848
08.10.26ENCE – LFO 10LFO 102.1929lost-29-1820
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseAzuolas2.5330lost-30-1791
08.10.26OG – SangalOG2.2432lost-32-1761
08.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.5134lost-34-1729
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0232won+33-1695
08.10.26Villainous – FarmVilleVillainous2.0634lost-34-1728
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0432won+34-1694
08.10.26Isurus – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.0734lost-34-1728
07.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.8131won+56-1694
07.10.26Lazer Cats – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior2.0729won+31-1750
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4027won+38-1781
07.10.26BERG – LeoBERG3.0829lost-29-1820
07.10.26LFO 10 – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT2.3127won+35-1791
07.10.26Vexar – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.2926won+33-1826
07.10.26Falcons Force – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.1127lost-27-1859
07.10.26G2 Ares – SINQUSINQU2.5428lost-28-1832
07.10.26OG – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.3230lost-30-1804
07.10.26benched gods – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya2.1931lost-31-1774
06.10.26Falcons – Natus VincereNatus Vincere2.6533lost-33-1743
06.10.26G2 – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.4831won+45-1710
05.10.26mellren – LPHLPH2.0732lost-32-1755
05.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode2.0531won+32-1723
04.10.26ex-RUSTEC – EnjoyEnjoy2.1232lost-32-1755
04.10.26SAW – NTNT2.3630won+41-1723
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.