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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1088u
ROI
-3.9%
win rate
44%
bets
689
drawdown
106.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

5% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-799u
period 3profit withdrawn+60u
period 2top-up-433u
period 1profit withdrawn+85u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale18146%-172-2.4%59.4%Select
Flat (10 units)68944%-202-2.9%36.3%Select
1% of bankroll68944%-202-3.1%35%Select
2% of bankroll68944%-409-3.2%58.7%Select
5% of bankroll68944%-1088-3.9%106.5%Selected
10% of bankroll68944%-2371-5.7%161.9%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 689, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26mellren – Bushido Wildcatsmellren2.469won+14-88
20.08.26FaZe – VitalityVitality2.159won+10-102
20.08.26OG – SPARTASPARTA2.029lost-9-112
20.08.26Honvéd – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.1710lost-10-103
20.08.26Falcons – The MongolZThe MongolZ2.4910lost-10-93
20.08.26Bushido Wildcats – RaccoonsRaccoons2.3511lost-11-82
19.08.26FURIA – AuroraFURIA2.0210won+11-72
19.08.26G2 – AstralisAstralis2.0611lost-11-82
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity2.1710won+12-71
19.08.26Lavked – ReviseLavked2.1710won+11-83
19.08.26Misa – The Last ResortMisa2.1910lost-10-95
19.08.26Mai Tai – HonvédMai Tai2.5711lost-11-84
19.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTAMOUZ NXT2.0511lost-11-74
19.08.26HYPERSPIRIT – PermittaPermitta2.0112lost-12-62
18.08.26Misa – Strael BoraMisa2.0911won+12-50
18.08.26Omega – EntropyEntropy2.6810won+18-63
18.08.26Entropy – PCIFICEntropy2.1111lost-11-80
18.08.26WBT – Mai TaiMai Tai3.0712lost-12-69
18.08.26Bushido Wildcats – MisaMisa3.5012lost-12-58
18.08.26Color – MisaMisa2.0613lost-13-46
18.08.26Omega – Fire FluxFire Flux2.2912won+16-33
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTECex-Zero Tenacity2.4111won+16-48
18.08.26Bebop – benched godsBebop2.0512lost-12-64
18.08.26Fortress – ex-MANAFortress2.0312lost-12-52
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.8513lost-13-40
17.08.26Nexus – G2 AresG2 Ares2.0512won+13-27
17.08.26NEW VISION – VexarNEW VISION2.1013lost-13-40
17.08.26Atreides – ex-Sashi AcademyAtreides2.0614lost-14-27
16.08.26EAC – BASEMENT BOYSEAC2.1713won+15-13
16.08.26Legacy – MIBRLegacy2.0212won+13-28
16.08.26Mai Tai – BERGMai Tai2.5012won+17-41
16.08.26Rune Eaters – DNKDNK2.1912lost-12-58
16.08.26INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYSBASEMENT BOYS2.2111won+14-46
16.08.26MOUZ – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.2112lost-12-60
16.08.26ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.6311won+18-48
16.08.26Bushido Wildcats – FortressFortress3.3212lost-12-66
16.08.26Nexus – Bushido WildcatsNexus2.4112lost-12-54
16.08.26ROUNDS – VexarROUNDS2.2013lost-13-42
16.08.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA WolvesMETANOIA Wolves2.5814lost-14-29
15.08.26INOX Division – MisaMisa2.7114lost-14-15
15.08.26eternal premium – Reviseeternal premium2.0415lost-15-1
15.08.26magic – 3DMAX3DMAX2.4916lost-1614
15.08.26FURIA – 9zFURIA2.0415won+1630
15.08.26Leo – MisaMisa2.2814won+1814
15.08.26Atreides – LPHAtreides2.3915lost-15-4
15.08.26Honvéd – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.3314won+1911
15.08.26MOUZ NXT – ENCEMOUZ NXT2.1513won+15-8
15.08.26Fire Flux – NEW VISIONNEW VISION2.4612won+18-23
15.08.26BESTIA – ALKAALKA2.0413lost-13-41
14.08.26PARIVISION – 100 ThievesPARIVISION2.3212won+16-28
14.08.26INOX Division – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT2.6713lost-13-44
14.08.26EAC – MisaMisa2.0414lost-14-31
14.08.26Leo – benched godsbenched gods2.0614lost-14-18
14.08.26Inner Circle Academy – ex-Sashi AcademyInner Circle Academy2.2015lost-15-4
14.08.26Misa – LeoMisa2.5514won+2211
14.08.26INOX Division – ex-MANAex-MANA2.6115lost-15-10
14.08.26NEW VISION – ArchNEW VISION2.3514won+194
14.08.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetBoomNinjas in Pyjamas2.1313won+15-14
14.08.26Enjoy – MisaMisa2.5914lost-14-29
13.08.26ENCE – EnjoyENCE2.0214lost-14-15
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.