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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-392u
ROI
-0.8%
win rate
45%
bets
1328
drawdown
80.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

5% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-966u
period 3top-up-285u
period 2top-up-630u
period 1profit withdrawn+1489u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
1% of bankroll132845%-260-2.1%46.8%Select
Flat (10 units)132845%-363-2.7%55.2%Select
2% of bankroll132845%-376-1.7%65%Select
5% of bankroll132845%-392-0.8%80.1%Select
10% of bankroll132845%-407-0.5%89.1%Select
Martingale9251%-1000-26.4%100%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1328, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26FaZe – VitalityVitality2.142won+2608
20.08.26B8 – SpiritB82.382lost-2606
20.08.26OG – SPARTASPARTA2.022lost-2608
20.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – benched godsbenched gods2.022won+2610
20.08.26Falcons – The MongolZThe MongolZ2.492lost-2608
20.08.26Honvéd – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.162lost-2610
20.08.26Bushido Wildcats – RaccoonsRaccoons2.352lost-2612
19.08.26GamerLegion – MOUZGamerLegion2.412lost-2614
19.08.26FURIA – AuroraFURIA2.022won+2616
19.08.26Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRITDrip Too Hard2.162lost-2614
19.08.26Honvéd – Bushido WildcatsHonvéd2.812won+3616
19.08.26EAC – ColorColor2.012won+2612
19.08.26Permitta – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.022won+2610
19.08.26G2 – AstralisAstralis2.062lost-2609
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity2.172won+2610
19.08.26Lavked – ReviseLavked2.172won+2608
19.08.26Permitta – EACPermitta2.092lost-2607
19.08.26Black Phoenix – Bushido WildcatsBlack Phoenix2.782won+3608
19.08.26Noir Verse – ENCENoir Verse2.201won+2605
19.08.26Misa – The Last ResortMisa2.192lost-2604
19.08.26Mai Tai – HonvédMai Tai2.572lost-2605
19.08.26Entropy – Fire FluxEntropy2.162lost-2607
19.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTAMOUZ NXT2.052lost-2609
19.08.26G2 Ares – ex-Zero TenacityG2 Ares2.002lost-2610
19.08.26HYPERSPIRIT – PermittaPermitta2.012lost-2612
19.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Endless JourneyEndless Journey2.732lost-2614
19.08.26GenOne – UNiTYUNiTY2.542lost-2617
18.08.26Misa – Strael BoraMisa2.092won+2619
18.08.26EAC – OGOG2.062won+2616
18.08.26Omega – EntropyEntropy2.682won+3614
18.08.26Fortress – PermittaFortress2.432lost-2611
18.08.26DONSTU – MOUZ NXTDONSTU2.022lost-2613
18.08.26Entropy – PCIFICEntropy2.112lost-2615
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – Vexarex-Zero Tenacity2.012won+2617
18.08.26Leo – ex-RUSTECLeo2.012lost-2615
18.08.26Bushido Wildcats – MisaMisa3.502lost-2618
18.08.26WBT – Mai TaiMai Tai3.072lost-2620
18.08.26Color – MisaMisa2.063lost-3622
18.08.26Omega – Fire FluxFire Flux2.292won+3625
18.08.26Metizport – DONSTUDONSTU2.133lost-3622
18.08.26EAC – FortressFortress2.683lost-3624
18.08.26MASONIC – BebopBebop2.083lost-3627
18.08.26Fortress – ex-MANAFortress2.033lost-3630
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTECex-Zero Tenacity2.413won+4633
18.08.26ENCE – Mai TaiMai Tai2.463lost-3629
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – PermittaPermitta2.773lost-3632
17.08.26Enjoy – HAVUHAVU2.663won+5635
17.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.863lost-3630
17.08.26mellren – Noir VerseNoir Verse2.153lost-3633
17.08.26Nexus – G2 AresG2 Ares2.053won+3636
17.08.26LPH – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.233lost-3633
17.08.26Noir Verse – ex-RUSTECNoir Verse2.193lost-3636
17.08.26NEW VISION – VexarNEW VISION2.103lost-3639
17.08.26Atreides – ex-Sashi AcademyAtreides2.064lost-4643
17.08.26benched gods – Phantom Academybenched gods2.033won+4646
17.08.26ex-RUSTEC – DragonClawDragonClaw2.724lost-4643
17.08.26paiN Academy – QUINTESSÊNCIApaiN Academy2.164lost-4647
16.08.26Lavked – INOX DivisionLavked2.704won+6650
16.08.26EAC – BASEMENT BOYSEAC2.183won+4644
16.08.26Legacy – MIBRLegacy2.023won+3640
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.