Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-1344u
ROI
-40.1%
win rate
19%
bets
37
drawdown
139.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-284u
period 6top-up-185u
period 5top-up-469u
period 4top-up-190u
period 3top-up-410u
period 2profit withdrawn+193u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 37 | 19% | -141 | -38.4% | 17.9% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 37 | 19% | -141 | -38.2% | 18.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 37 | 19% | -280 | -38.5% | 34.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 37 | 19% | -691 | -39.1% | 79.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 37 | 19% | -1344 | -40.1% | 139.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 12 | 17% | -2205 | -94.6% | 213.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 37, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 59 | won | +125 | -344 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 66 | lost | -66 | -469 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 73 | lost | -73 | -403 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 81 | lost | -81 | -330 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 66 | won | +155 | -249 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | ShindeN | 3.01 | 73 | lost | -73 | -404 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 81 | lost | -81 | -331 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 90 | lost | -90 | -250 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 100 | lost | -100 | -160 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | FOKUS | 3.28 | 91 | lost | -91 | -60 |
| 25.09.26 | GenOne – Giant Pandas | Giant Pandas | 3.08 | 101 | lost | -101 | 30 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Just Players | 3.77 | 112 | lost | -112 | 131 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | DETONATE | 3.04 | 124 | lost | -124 | 243 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | Permitta | 3.14 | 102 | won | +219 | 367 |
| 17.09.26 | Luminosity – B8 | Luminosity | 3.25 | 114 | lost | -114 | 148 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Young27 | 3.51 | 126 | lost | -126 | 262 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.87 | 98 | won | +281 | 388 |
| 08.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Privateer | Privateer | 3.87 | 109 | lost | -109 | 107 |
| 05.09.26 | Peladona – Imperial | Peladona | 3.21 | 121 | lost | -121 | 216 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Entropy | 3.12 | 100 | won | +212 | 337 |
| 31.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Atreides | Atreides | 3.72 | 59 | lost | -59 | 125 |
| 30.08.26 | Nordic Partners – Bushido Wildcats | Nordic Partners | 3.13 | 66 | lost | -66 | 184 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | Misa | 3.09 | 73 | lost | -73 | 250 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 3.25 | 81 | lost | -81 | 323 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 90 | lost | -90 | 404 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 3.19 | 100 | lost | -100 | 494 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | BET-M | 3.51 | 90 | lost | -90 | 594 |
| 28.07.26 | HTX – TDK | HTX | 3.23 | 100 | lost | -100 | 684 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | Vasco | 3.61 | 66 | lost | -66 | 784 |
| 24.06.26 | EAC – Walczaki | EAC | 3.33 | 73 | lost | -73 | 849 |
| 18.06.26 | TDK – Ursa | Ursa | 3.08 | 81 | lost | -81 | 922 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | SPARTA | 3.17 | 90 | lost | -90 | 1003 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 Ares – aAa | aAa | 3.09 | 100 | lost | -100 | 1093 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | GameHunters | 3.25 | 97 | won | +219 | 1193 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | FAVBET | 3.12 | 108 | lost | -108 | 974 |
| 13.05.26 | Johnny Speeds – Walczaki | Johnny Speeds | 3.03 | 90 | won | +183 | 1083 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | BET-M | 3.05 | 100 | lost | -100 | 900 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.