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Always the underdog

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-5789u
ROI
-9.7%
win rate
42%
bets
2823
drawdown
438.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-964u
period 6top-up-964u
period 5top-up-910u
period 4top-up-890u
period 3top-up-875u
period 2top-up-965u
period 1top-up-222u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale13348%-552-11.4%70.3%Select
1% of bankroll282342%-2187-9.4%210.3%Select
Flat (10 units)282342%-2570-9.1%246.1%Select
2% of bankroll282342%-3708-9.6%334.2%Select
5% of bankroll282342%-5789-9.7%438.1%Select
10% of bankroll282342%-6522-8.7%389.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2823, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.572lost-2-4789
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.422lost-2-4787
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.192lost-2-4785
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.672won+3-4783
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.902lost-2-4786
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.412won+3-4784
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.212lost-2-4787
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.092won+2-4785
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.782lost-2-4787
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.012lost-2-4785
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.292won+3-4783
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.112lost-2-4786
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.902lost-2-4783
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.162lost-2-4781
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.302lost-2-4779
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.042won+2-4776
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.112lost-2-4779
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.993lost-3-4776
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.103lost-3-4774
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersChicken Coop1.963won+3-4771
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.263lost-3-4774
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.013lost-3-4771
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.693lost-3-4768
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.093lost-3-4765
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.683lost-3-4762
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.184lost-4-4758
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.994lost-4-4755
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.454lost-4-4751
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.044lost-4-4747
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.024won+4-4743
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.544lost-4-4747
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.044lost-4-4743
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.965lost-5-4739
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.964won+4-4734
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.615lost-5-4738
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.124won+9-4734
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.404lost-4-4742
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.645lost-5-4738
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.975lost-5-4733
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.455won+7-4729
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.975lost-5-4735
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.525lost-5-4730
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.905lost-5-4725
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.316lost-6-4720
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.545won+8-4714
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.925won+5-4722
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.145won+5-4727
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.145lost-5-4732
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.075lost-5-4727
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.075won+5-4722
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.245won+6-4727
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.255lost-5-4733
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.145lost-5-4728
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Yawaraex-Keyd Stars1.955won+5-4723
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.105won+5-4728
10.10.26NRG – WildcardWildcard1.924won+4-4733
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.024won+4-4737
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior1.964lost-4-4741
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.835lost-5-4737
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.375lost-5-4732
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.