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Always the underdog

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-5485u
ROI
-9.2%
win rate
43%
bets
2825
drawdown
460.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-946u
period 6top-up-988u
period 5top-up-952u
period 4top-up-705u
period 3top-up-674u
period 2top-up-866u
period 1top-up-354u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale13346%-536-12%69.3%Select
1% of bankroll282543%-1903-8.2%186.2%Select
Flat (10 units)282543%-2221-7.9%216.5%Select
2% of bankroll282543%-3276-8.5%307.5%Select
5% of bankroll282543%-5485-9.2%460.7%Select
10% of bankroll282543%-6600-10%478.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2825, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.133lost-3-4485
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.983lost-3-4482
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.573lost-3-4479
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticfnatic1.933lost-3-4476
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.194lost-4-4472
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.673won+5-4469
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.413won+4-4474
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.903lost-3-4479
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.213lost-3-4475
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.093won+3-4472
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.783lost-3-4476
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.014lost-4-4472
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.293won+4-4469
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.113lost-3-4473
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.904lost-4-4469
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.044lost-4-4466
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.904lost-4-4462
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.044won+4-4458
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.114lost-4-4462
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.994lost-4-4458
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.105lost-5-4453
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.955lost-5-4449
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.185lost-5-4444
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.015lost-5-4439
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.696lost-6-4434
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.096lost-6-4428
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.686lost-6-4422
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.186won+7-4416
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.456lost-6-4423
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.996lost-6-4417
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.076won+7-4411
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.026won+6-4417
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.556lost-6-4423
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.066won+6-4417
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.966lost-6-4423
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.186lost-6-4417
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.617lost-7-4411
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.126won+13-4404
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.406lost-6-4417
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.647lost-7-4410
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.206won+8-4404
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersJust Players1.977lost-7-4411
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.456won+9-4404
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.527lost-7-4414
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.907lost-7-4407
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.317lost-7-4400
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.547won+11-4393
11.10.26benched gods – IllyriansIllyrians1.927won+6-4403
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.146won+7-4409
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.146lost-6-4416
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.077lost-7-4410
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.207lost-7-4403
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.077won+7-4396
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.246won+8-4403
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.817lost-7-4411
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.847lost-7-4404
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Yawaraex-Keyd Stars1.957won+6-4397
10.10.26NRG – WildcardWildcard1.926won+6-4404
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.026won+6-4410
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorNAVI Junior1.966lost-6-4416
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.