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Always the underdog

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-5867u
ROI
-8.3%
win rate
43%
bets
5546
drawdown
532.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-989u
period 6top-up-1000u
period 5top-up-996u
period 4top-up-710u
period 3top-up-886u
period 2top-up-999u
period 1top-up-286u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale26450%-104-1.2%57.3%Select
Flat (10 units)117245%-1016-8.7%101.5%Select
1% of bankroll554643%-2948-7.7%289.4%Select
2% of bankroll554643%-4285-7.7%411.4%Select
5% of bankroll554643%-5867-8.3%532.1%Select
10% of bankroll554643%-6685-9.4%571.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5546, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.421lost-1-4867
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.191lost-1-4866
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.671won+1-4865
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyB8 Academy1.901lost-1-4866
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.051won+1-4866
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.211lost-1-4866
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.091won+1-4866
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.781lost-1-4866
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.011lost-1-4866
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.291won+1-4865
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.111lost-1-4866
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.901lost-1-4865
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoLiquid1.931won+1-4865
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersWalczaki2.451lost-1-4865
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.161lost-1-4865
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.041lost-1-4864
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansMartians1.901lost-1-4863
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.301lost-1-4862
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.041won+1-4862
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.991lost-1-4862
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.111lost-1-4862
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.101lost-1-4861
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademyBAKS2.241won+1-4860
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersChicken Coop1.961won+1-4861
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.951lost-1-4862
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.121won+1-4861
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.181lost-1-4862
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.261lost-1-4861
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.351lost-1-4860
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.011lost-1-4859
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.691lost-1-4858
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.951lost-1-4857
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeThe Golden Horde2.711won+2-4856
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.091lost-1-4858
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.681lost-1-4857
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.181lost-1-4856
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.181won+1-4855
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.451lost-1-4856
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasInner Circle1.991lost-1-4855
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.041lost-1-4854
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.071won+1-4852
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.021won+1-4854
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.541lost-1-4855
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalInner Circle1.971won+1-4854
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.041lost-1-4855
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.061won+1-4853
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersEnjoy1.961lost-1-4855
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainOvertake Sector1.961won+1-4853
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.181lost-1-4855
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEWildcard1.901won+1-4853
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.611lost-1-4854
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.091lost-1-4853
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.121won+2-4852
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds1.991won+1-4854
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.401lost-1-4855
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEPRIVATE1.911won+1-4854
11.10.26antidaun – Saint Sinnersantidaun1.971lost-1-4855
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.201won+1-4854
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.641lost-1-4855
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.451won+2-4854
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.