Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-998u
ROI
-18.1%
win rate
59%
bets
61
drawdown
104%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-392u
period 6top-up-223u
period 5top-up-130u
period 4top-up-229u
period 3profit withdrawn+124u
period 2top-up-148u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 61 | 59% | -103 | -17% | 12.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 61 | 59% | -103 | -16.9% | 12.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 61 | 59% | -145 | -11.1% | 20% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 61 | 59% | -205 | -17.1% | 24.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 61 | 59% | -508 | -17.5% | 57.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 61 | 59% | -998 | -18.1% | 104% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 61, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 59 | won | +22 | 2 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 56 | won | +27 | -20 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 62 | lost | -62 | -47 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 59 | won | +29 | 15 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 66 | lost | -66 | -14 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 73 | lost | -73 | 52 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 81 | lost | -81 | 125 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 79 | won | +25 | 206 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 87 | lost | -87 | 181 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 83 | won | +41 | 268 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 93 | lost | -93 | 227 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 88 | won | +44 | 319 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 86 | won | +26 | 275 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 83 | won | +27 | 250 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 92 | lost | -92 | 223 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 90 | won | +21 | 315 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 100 | lost | -100 | 294 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 75 | won | +31 | 394 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 83 | lost | -83 | 363 |
| 27.09.26 | Fluxo – SAW | Fluxo | 1.42 | 92 | lost | -92 | 446 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 88 | won | +38 | 538 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | overTIME | 1.48 | 84 | won | +40 | 500 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | Nemiga | 1.36 | 81 | won | +29 | 460 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Famalicão | Fluxo | 1.42 | 78 | won | +33 | 431 |
| 23.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – STATE | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.48 | 87 | lost | -87 | 398 |
| 22.09.26 | ODDIK – Sementes do Mal | ODDIK | 1.42 | 83 | won | +35 | 485 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | LPH | 1.38 | 80 | won | +30 | 450 |
| 22.09.26 | mellren – KUUSAMO | mellren | 1.41 | 89 | lost | -89 | 419 |
| 15.09.26 | QUAZAR – Permitta | QUAZAR | 1.39 | 86 | won | +33 | 509 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 95 | lost | -95 | 475 |
| 12.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 106 | lost | -106 | 571 |
| 11.09.26 | Acend – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.43 | 102 | won | +44 | 677 |
| 10.09.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – BET-M | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.39 | 98 | won | +39 | 633 |
| 09.09.26 | Phantom Academy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 94 | won | +40 | 595 |
| 06.09.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.42 | 90 | won | +38 | 555 |
| 01.09.26 | Entropy – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.35 | 100 | lost | -100 | 517 |
| 31.08.26 | Spirit – FURIA | Spirit | 1.44 | 83 | won | +37 | 617 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 93 | lost | -93 | 580 |
| 22.08.26 | Lavked – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 88 | won | +41 | 672 |
| 21.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bebop | Black Phoenix | 1.47 | 84 | won | +40 | 631 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.43 | 94 | lost | -94 | 591 |
| 07.08.26 | BRUTE – NAVI Junior | BRUTE | 1.49 | 104 | lost | -104 | 685 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.43 | 100 | won | +43 | 789 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.27 | 75 | won | +20 | 746 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | TDK | 1.29 | 73 | won | +21 | 726 |
| 26.07.26 | STATE – Lazer Cats | STATE | 1.47 | 81 | lost | -81 | 705 |
| 24.07.26 | Liquid – Vitality | Vitality | 1.48 | 90 | lost | -90 | 786 |
| 17.07.26 | Enjoy – PsychoFace | Enjoy | 1.38 | 100 | lost | -100 | 876 |
| 26.06.26 | Walczaki – Inner Circle | Walczaki | 1.47 | 125 | lost | -125 | 976 |
| 25.06.26 | INFINITE – Betclic | INFINITE | 1.48 | 119 | won | +57 | 1100 |
| 21.06.26 | Chicken Coop – Overtake Sector | Chicken Coop | 1.48 | 114 | won | +55 | 1043 |
| 15.06.26 | 100 Thieves – Betclic | 100 Thieves | 1.46 | 109 | won | +50 | 988 |
| 14.06.26 | 1win – TDK | TDK | 1.46 | 104 | won | +48 | 938 |
| 06.06.26 | Betclic – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.38 | 100 | won | +38 | 890 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.33 | 95 | lost | -95 | 852 |
| 25.05.26 | ex-RUBY – Ursa | ex-RUBY | 1.45 | 105 | lost | -105 | 946 |
| 22.05.26 | Alliance – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.38 | 117 | lost | -117 | 1052 |
| 22.05.26 | Lavked – HEROIC Academy | Lavked | 1.49 | 111 | won | +54 | 1168 |
| 16.05.26 | SPARTA – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.38 | 107 | won | +41 | 1114 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.35 | 104 | won | +36 | 1073 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.