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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
-2873u
ROI
-7.8%
win rate
67%
bets
614
drawdown
276.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-336u
period 6top-up-732u
period 5top-up-86u
period 4top-up-879u
period 3top-up-371u
period 2top-up-467u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll61467%-348-6%39.9%Select
Flat (10 units)61467%-358-5.8%41.9%Select
2% of bankroll61467%-680-6.1%75%Select
Martingale61467%-955-7.7%112.3%Select
5% of bankroll61467%-1588-6.7%165.6%Select
10% of bankroll61467%-2873-7.8%276.6%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 614, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.4763won+30-1873
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3861won+23-1903
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4958won+29-1926
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4665lost-65-1954
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4362won+27-1890
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4060won+24-1916
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4557won+26-1940
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.4563lost-63-1966
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4661won+28-1902
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3459won+20-1930
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5056won+28-1950
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4853won+25-1978
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3559lost-59-2003
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4757won+26-1944
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2955won+16-1971
11.10.26FOKUS – Nordic PartnersFOKUS1.4561lost-61-1986
11.10.26Imperial – NRGImperial1.3759won+22-1925
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4057won+23-1947
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5063lost-63-1970
11.10.26Fire Flux – GothicFire Flux1.4860won+29-1907
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5057won+28-1936
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGFlyQuest1.4255won+23-1964
11.10.26Unreal Nightmare – Without a RoofWithout a Roof1.2554won+14-1987
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4151won+21-2001
10.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3557lost-57-2022
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4255won+23-1965
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3553won+18-1988
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3151won+16-2006
10.10.26DENDELE – MarsborneMarsborne1.4457lost-57-2022
10.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorSangal1.4964lost-64-1965
10.10.26Iberian Soul – NemigaNemiga1.2371lost-71-1901
10.10.26mellren – Honvédmellren1.3668won+25-1831
10.10.26Mindfreak – AbyssalAbyssal1.4965won+32-1856
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4562won+28-1888
10.10.26BGNS Orange – Ground ZeroGround Zero1.5059won+30-1916
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsFarmVille1.4766lost-66-1945
10.10.26THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS OrangeTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1.4873lost-73-1879
09.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – PRIVATENuclear TigeRES1.4481lost-81-1806
09.10.26Sangal – G2 AresSangal1.4877won+37-1725
09.10.26Lavked – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4274won+31-1762
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4883lost-83-1793
09.10.26Vitality – PARIVISIONVitality1.3979won+31-1711
09.10.26Nemiga – GothicNemiga1.1878won+14-1742
09.10.26EAC – SangalSangal1.4774won+35-1756
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4571won+32-1792
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3679lost-79-1824
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4088lost-88-1745
09.10.26METANOIA Wolves – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.4884won+40-1657
08.10.26Galorys – Low Cortisol BRGalorys1.3981won+32-1697
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4990lost-90-1728
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2688won+22-1639
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.5097lost-97-1661
08.10.26Lilmix – Fire FluxFire Flux1.2395won+21-1564
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4991won+45-1585
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.42101lost-101-1630
08.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.3298won+31-1529
08.10.26Nemesis – SINNERSNemesis1.49108lost-108-1560
08.10.26Nemiga – LavkedNemiga1.15107won+16-1452
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.39103won+40-1468
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGalorys1.39114lost-114-1508
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.