Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-310u
ROI
-3.2%
win rate
64%
bets
94
drawdown
111.8%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+589u
period 3top-up-734u
period 2top-up-64u
period 1top-up-100u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 94 | 64% | -71 | -4.2% | 20% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 94 | 64% | -73 | -7.8% | 15.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 94 | 64% | -80 | -8.5% | 15.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 94 | 64% | -134 | -7.2% | 29.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 94 | 64% | -256 | -5.5% | 65.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 94 | 64% | -310 | -3.2% | 111.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 94, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 177 | lost | -177 | 690 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 196 | lost | -196 | 867 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 187 | won | +92 | 1063 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 179 | won | +76 | 971 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 199 | lost | -199 | 895 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.30 | 194 | won | +57 | 1095 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | WBT | 1.36 | 187 | won | +67 | 1037 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | EAC | 1.45 | 179 | won | +81 | 970 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 199 | lost | -199 | 889 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 190 | won | +82 | 1088 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 183 | won | +75 | 1006 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 175 | won | +78 | 931 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.45 | 195 | lost | -195 | 853 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 216 | lost | -216 | 1048 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 210 | won | +66 | 1264 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.47 | 200 | won | +95 | 1198 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 192 | won | +87 | 1103 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 183 | won | +84 | 1016 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | INOX Division | 1.48 | 175 | won | +84 | 932 |
| 14.08.26 | Enjoy – Misa | Enjoy | 1.49 | 166 | won | +82 | 848 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Spirit | 1.38 | 160 | won | +61 | 766 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 153 | won | +72 | 705 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Inner Circle | 1.46 | 146 | won | +67 | 633 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | GenOne | 1.44 | 140 | won | +62 | 566 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | Isurus | 1.40 | 135 | won | +54 | 503 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – BET-M | Butterfly | 1.48 | 129 | won | +62 | 450 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | Virtus.pro | 1.46 | 123 | won | +57 | 388 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Virtus.pro | 1.48 | 117 | won | +56 | 331 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.34 | 114 | won | +38 | 275 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | Inner Circle | 1.49 | 108 | won | +53 | 236 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | GenOne | 1.38 | 104 | won | +40 | 183 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 100 | won | +38 | 143 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.37 | 97 | won | +36 | 105 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | fnatic | 1.47 | 92 | won | +44 | 69 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | GenOne | 1.40 | 89 | won | +36 | 26 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 85 | won | +40 | -10 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 81 | won | +39 | -50 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.37 | 78 | won | +29 | -89 |
| 03.08.26 | 1win – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.50 | 87 | lost | -87 | -118 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 84 | won | +28 | -31 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.43 | 93 | lost | -93 | -60 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 89 | won | +42 | 33 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 85 | won | +41 | -9 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 94 | lost | -94 | -50 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 105 | lost | -105 | 44 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 100 | won | +48 | 149 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | HOTU | 1.46 | 30 | lost | -30 | 101 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 33 | lost | -33 | 131 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.37 | 32 | won | +12 | 163 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 1.43 | 35 | lost | -35 | 152 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUBY – Lavked | ex-RUBY | 1.40 | 34 | won | +13 | 187 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Spirit | 1.46 | 32 | won | +15 | 173 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | TDK | 1.44 | 36 | lost | -36 | 158 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 34 | won | +16 | 194 |
| 29.07.26 | Nemiga – TDK | TDK | 1.45 | 33 | won | +15 | 178 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BET-M | TDK | 1.38 | 32 | won | +12 | 164 |
| 28.07.26 | HTX – TDK | TDK | 1.41 | 30 | won | +13 | 152 |
| 28.07.26 | GenOne – NEW VISION | GenOne | 1.41 | 34 | lost | -34 | 139 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BAKS | TDK | 1.37 | 37 | lost | -37 | 173 |
| 27.07.26 | BRUTE – LEO SE | BRUTE | 1.49 | 36 | won | +18 | 210 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.