Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-157u
ROI
-16.1%
win rate
59%
bets
49
drawdown
19%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-79u
period 6profit withdrawn+67u
period 5top-up-64u
period 4top-up-78u
period 3profit withdrawn+15u
period 2top-up-18u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 49 | 59% | -80 | -16.3% | 9.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 49 | 59% | -81 | -16.6% | 10% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 49 | 59% | -157 | -16.1% | 19% | Selected |
| Martingale | 49 | 59% | -187 | -13.6% | 30.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 49 | 59% | -369 | -15.3% | 43.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 49 | 59% | -666 | -13.9% | 74.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 49, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 18 | won | +7 | 843 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 18 | won | +9 | 836 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 18 | lost | -18 | 828 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 19 | lost | -19 | 846 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 19 | lost | -19 | 865 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 19 | won | +9 | 884 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Grêmio | Galorys | 1.39 | 19 | lost | -19 | 875 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 20 | lost | -20 | 894 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 20 | won | +6 | 914 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 20 | won | +6 | 908 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 902 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.48 | 21 | won | +10 | 922 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 21 | won | +9 | 912 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 21 | lost | -21 | 903 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 21 | won | +9 | 925 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | overTIME | 1.48 | 21 | won | +10 | 915 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | SportsBetExpert | 1.30 | 21 | won | +6 | 905 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Famalicão | Fluxo | 1.42 | 21 | won | +9 | 899 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | LAG | 1.37 | 21 | won | +8 | 890 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | LPH | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 883 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 875 |
| 18.09.26 | NuTorious – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 867 |
| 16.09.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 859 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 850 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1win | 1.36 | 20 | won | +7 | 871 |
| 09.09.26 | Phantom Academy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 863 |
| 31.08.26 | Spirit – FURIA | Spirit | 1.44 | 19 | won | +8 | 855 |
| 28.08.26 | SINNERS – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 19 | lost | -19 | 847 |
| 28.08.26 | INOX Division – Lavked | INOX Division | 1.41 | 19 | won | +8 | 866 |
| 21.08.26 | ex-RUBY – HYPERSPIRIT | ex-RUBY | 1.47 | 19 | lost | -19 | 858 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.43 | 20 | lost | -20 | 877 |
| 09.08.26 | 9INE – HOTU | HOTU | 1.45 | 19 | won | +9 | 897 |
| 07.08.26 | BRUTE – NAVI Junior | BRUTE | 1.49 | 20 | lost | -20 | 888 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 908 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 928 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.50 | 19 | lost | -19 | 919 |
| 26.07.26 | STATE – Lazer Cats | STATE | 1.47 | 19 | lost | -19 | 938 |
| 24.07.26 | Liquid – Vitality | Vitality | 1.48 | 20 | lost | -20 | 957 |
| 17.07.26 | Enjoy – PsychoFace | Enjoy | 1.38 | 20 | lost | -20 | 977 |
| 26.06.26 | Walczaki – Inner Circle | Walczaki | 1.47 | 21 | lost | -21 | 997 |
| 25.06.26 | INFINITE – Betclic | INFINITE | 1.48 | 21 | won | +10 | 1017 |
| 15.06.26 | 100 Thieves – Betclic | 100 Thieves | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 1008 |
| 14.06.26 | 1win – TDK | TDK | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 998 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 Ares – aAa | G2 Ares | 1.36 | 20 | won | +7 | 989 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.33 | 20 | lost | -20 | 982 |
| 22.05.26 | Alliance – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.38 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1002 |
| 16.05.26 | SPARTA – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 1022 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.35 | 20 | won | +7 | 1014 |
| 12.05.26 | BET-M – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.36 | 20 | won | +7 | 1007 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.