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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
-705u
ROI
-6.4%
win rate
66%
bets
611
drawdown
75.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-65u
period 6top-up-165u
period 5profit withdrawn+22u
period 4top-up-323u
period 3top-up-70u
period 2top-up-105u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll61166%-361-6.2%40%Select
Flat (10 units)61166%-371-6.1%42%Select
2% of bankroll61166%-705-6.4%75.3%Select
Martingale40863%-1274-14.5%126.9%Select
5% of bankroll61166%-1644-7%165.6%Select
10% of bankroll61166%-2954-8.1%276.6%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 611, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4619lost-19295
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4319won+8314
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4019won+7306
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4519won+8299
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.4519lost-19290
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4619won+9309
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3419won+6301
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5018won+9294
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4818won+9285
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3519lost-19276
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4719won+9295
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2918won+5286
11.10.26FOKUS – Nordic PartnersFOKUS1.4519lost-19281
11.10.26Imperial – NRGImperial1.3719won+7300
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4019won+7293
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5019lost-19285
11.10.26Fire Flux – GothicFire Flux1.4819won+9304
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5019won+9295
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGFlyQuest1.4218won+8286
11.10.26Unreal Nightmare – Without a RoofWithout a Roof1.2518won+5278
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4118won+7274
10.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3518lost-18266
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4218won+8285
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3118won+6277
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3518won+6272
10.10.26DENDELE – MarsborneMarsborne1.4418lost-18265
10.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorSangal1.4919lost-19284
10.10.26Iberian Soul – NemigaNemiga1.2319lost-19303
10.10.26mellren – Honvédmellren1.3619won+7322
10.10.26Mindfreak – AbyssalAbyssal1.4919won+9315
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4519won+8306
10.10.26BGNS Orange – Ground ZeroGround Zero1.5019won+9297
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsFarmVille1.4719lost-19288
10.10.26THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS OrangeTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1.4819lost-19307
09.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – PRIVATENuclear TigeRES1.4420lost-20326
09.10.26Sangal – G2 AresSangal1.4820won+9346
09.10.26Lavked – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4219won+8336
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4820lost-20328
09.10.26Vitality – PARIVISIONVitality1.3920won+8348
09.10.26Nemiga – GothicNemiga1.1820won+4340
09.10.26EAC – SangalSangal1.4719won+9337
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4519won+9328
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3620lost-20319
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4020lost-20339
09.10.26METANOIA Wolves – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.4820won+9358
08.10.26Galorys – Low Cortisol BRGalorys1.3920won+8349
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2620won+5341
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.5020lost-20336
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4920lost-20356
08.10.26Lilmix – Fire FluxFire Flux1.2320won+5377
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4920won+10372
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4220lost-20362
08.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.3220won+6383
08.10.26Nemesis – SINNERSNemesis1.4921lost-21376
08.10.26Nemiga – LavkedNemiga1.1521won+3397
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.3921won+8394
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSTurma do Pagode1.4520won+9386
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGalorys1.3921lost-21376
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPLP1.3521won+7397
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsLazer Cats1.5020won+10390
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.