Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-473u
ROI
-17.8%
win rate
60%
bets
55
drawdown
49.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-97u
period 6top-up-93u
period 5top-up-110u
period 4top-up-117u
period 3profit withdrawn+10u
period 2top-up-66u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 55 | 60% | -93 | -16.9% | 10% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 55 | 60% | -93 | -17.1% | 10% | Select |
| Martingale | 55 | 60% | -171 | -13.2% | 23.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 55 | 60% | -187 | -17.3% | 20% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 55 | 60% | -473 | -17.8% | 49.9% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 55 | 60% | -959 | -18.8% | 98.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 55, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 44 | won | +17 | 527 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 47 | lost | -47 | 510 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 49 | lost | -49 | 557 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 48 | won | +17 | 606 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 47 | won | +23 | 589 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 46 | won | +14 | 565 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 46 | won | +15 | 552 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 48 | lost | -48 | 537 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 48 | won | +11 | 585 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 50 | lost | -50 | 574 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 44 | won | +18 | 624 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 47 | lost | -47 | 605 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 46 | won | +20 | 652 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | SportsBetExpert | 1.30 | 45 | won | +13 | 632 |
| 24.09.26 | paiN – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.48 | 47 | lost | -47 | 619 |
| 24.09.26 | Nemiga – Just Players | Nemiga | 1.26 | 47 | won | +12 | 666 |
| 22.09.26 | ODDIK – Sementes do Mal | ODDIK | 1.42 | 46 | won | +19 | 654 |
| 22.09.26 | B8 – Luminosity | B8 | 1.37 | 48 | lost | -48 | 635 |
| 22.09.26 | Johnny Speeds – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.42 | 51 | lost | -51 | 683 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 50 | won | +21 | 734 |
| 18.09.26 | NuTorious – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.38 | 49 | won | +18 | 713 |
| 17.09.26 | Overtake Sector – NuTorious | Overtake Sector | 1.49 | 48 | won | +23 | 694 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 50 | lost | -50 | 671 |
| 12.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 53 | lost | -53 | 721 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1win | 1.36 | 52 | won | +19 | 774 |
| 09.09.26 | Phantom Academy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 51 | won | +22 | 755 |
| 01.09.26 | Permitta – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.33 | 50 | won | +16 | 733 |
| 31.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Atreides | Virtus.pro | 1.26 | 44 | won | +12 | 717 |
| 31.08.26 | Spirit – FURIA | Spirit | 1.44 | 43 | won | +19 | 705 |
| 28.08.26 | INOX Division – Lavked | INOX Division | 1.41 | 42 | won | +17 | 686 |
| 21.08.26 | ex-RUBY – HYPERSPIRIT | ex-RUBY | 1.47 | 44 | lost | -44 | 669 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.45 | 47 | lost | -47 | 713 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.43 | 49 | lost | -49 | 760 |
| 14.08.26 | PARIVISION – 100 Thieves | 100 Thieves | 1.47 | 52 | lost | -52 | 809 |
| 09.08.26 | 9INE – HOTU | HOTU | 1.45 | 51 | won | +23 | 861 |
| 07.08.26 | BRUTE – NAVI Junior | BRUTE | 1.49 | 53 | lost | -53 | 838 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.33 | 52 | won | +17 | 891 |
| 07.08.26 | FKOMAR – fnatic | fnatic | 1.50 | 51 | won | +26 | 874 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.43 | 50 | won | +22 | 848 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.27 | 44 | won | +12 | 827 |
| 28.07.26 | HTX – TDK | TDK | 1.33 | 43 | won | +14 | 815 |
| 26.07.26 | STATE – Lazer Cats | STATE | 1.47 | 45 | lost | -45 | 801 |
| 24.07.26 | Liquid – Vitality | Vitality | 1.48 | 48 | lost | -48 | 846 |
| 17.07.26 | Enjoy – PsychoFace | Enjoy | 1.38 | 50 | lost | -50 | 893 |
| 26.06.26 | Walczaki – Inner Circle | Walczaki | 1.47 | 53 | lost | -53 | 943 |
| 25.06.26 | INFINITE – Betclic | INFINITE | 1.48 | 52 | won | +25 | 996 |
| 21.06.26 | Chicken Coop – Overtake Sector | Chicken Coop | 1.48 | 51 | won | +24 | 971 |
| 15.06.26 | 100 Thieves – Betclic | 100 Thieves | 1.46 | 50 | won | +23 | 947 |
| 14.06.26 | 1win – TDK | TDK | 1.46 | 48 | won | +22 | 924 |
| 10.06.26 | SPARTA – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 1.47 | 51 | lost | -51 | 902 |
| 06.06.26 | Betclic – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.38 | 50 | won | +19 | 953 |
| 30.05.26 | INOX Division – aAa | INOX Division | 1.33 | 46 | won | +15 | 934 |
| 27.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – GameHunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.33 | 48 | lost | -48 | 918 |
| 22.05.26 | Alliance – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.38 | 51 | lost | -51 | 967 |
| 14.05.26 | FAVBET – Walczaki | Walczaki | 1.35 | 50 | won | +18 | 1018 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.