Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-336u
ROI
-6.9%
win rate
63%
bets
100
drawdown
64.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+224u
period 3top-up-483u
period 2top-up-28u
period 1top-up-50u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 100 | 63% | -72 | -4% | 20% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 100 | 63% | -88 | -8.9% | 15.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 100 | 63% | -95 | -9.5% | 15.7% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 100 | 63% | -165 | -8.4% | 29.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 100 | 63% | -336 | -6.9% | 64.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 100 | 63% | -493 | -5% | 109.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 100, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Honvéd – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.42 | 64 | lost | -64 | 664 |
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 68 | lost | -68 | 728 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Honvéd | 1.49 | 66 | won | +32 | 796 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 65 | won | +32 | 764 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 63 | won | +28 | 732 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 67 | lost | -67 | 704 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | WBT | 1.36 | 65 | won | +24 | 770 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 64 | won | +19 | 747 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | EAC | 1.45 | 63 | won | +29 | 728 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 66 | lost | -66 | 699 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 65 | won | +28 | 766 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 64 | won | +26 | 738 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | ex-RUSTEC | 1.44 | 62 | won | +28 | 712 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.45 | 65 | lost | -65 | 684 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 69 | lost | -69 | 749 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 68 | won | +22 | 818 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | QUINTESSÊNCIA | 1.49 | 66 | won | +32 | 797 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | INOX Division | 1.45 | 65 | won | +29 | 765 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 63 | won | +29 | 736 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 67 | lost | -67 | 707 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | INOX Division | 1.48 | 65 | won | +31 | 773 |
| 14.08.26 | Enjoy – Misa | Enjoy | 1.49 | 64 | won | +31 | 742 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Spirit | 1.38 | 62 | won | +24 | 711 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | Endless Journey | 1.48 | 66 | lost | -66 | 688 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 64 | won | +30 | 753 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Inner Circle | 1.46 | 63 | won | +29 | 723 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | GenOne | 1.44 | 61 | won | +27 | 694 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | Isurus | 1.43 | 60 | won | +26 | 667 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – BET-M | Butterfly | 1.48 | 59 | won | +28 | 641 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | Virtus.pro | 1.46 | 57 | won | +27 | 613 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Virtus.pro | 1.48 | 56 | won | +27 | 586 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.34 | 55 | won | +19 | 560 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | Inner Circle | 1.49 | 54 | won | +26 | 541 |
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | GenOne | 1.38 | 53 | won | +20 | 515 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 52 | won | +20 | 495 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.38 | 51 | won | +20 | 475 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | fnatic | 1.47 | 50 | won | +24 | 456 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | GenOne | 1.40 | 49 | won | +19 | 432 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 48 | won | +22 | 413 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 46 | won | +23 | 391 |
| 03.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.37 | 46 | won | +17 | 368 |
| 03.08.26 | 1win – ex-RUBY | ex-RUBY | 1.50 | 48 | lost | -48 | 351 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 47 | won | +16 | 399 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.43 | 50 | lost | -50 | 383 |
| 02.08.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.47 | 48 | won | +23 | 433 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 47 | won | +23 | 410 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.50 | 46 | won | +23 | 387 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 49 | lost | -49 | 364 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 51 | lost | -51 | 413 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | GenOne | 1.48 | 50 | won | +24 | 464 |
| 31.07.26 | EAC – HOTU | HOTU | 1.46 | 27 | lost | -27 | 440 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 29 | lost | -29 | 467 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.39 | 28 | won | +11 | 496 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 1.43 | 30 | lost | -30 | 485 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – XCLAN | HOTU | 1.50 | 29 | won | +14 | 514 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUBY – Lavked | ex-RUBY | 1.40 | 28 | won | +11 | 500 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Spirit | 1.46 | 28 | won | +13 | 489 |
| 30.07.26 | WW – TDK | TDK | 1.44 | 29 | lost | -29 | 476 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 28 | won | +13 | 505 |
| 29.07.26 | MIBR – LP | LP | 1.49 | 30 | lost | -30 | 492 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.