Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-1266u
ROI
-10.2%
win rate
65%
bets
150
drawdown
135.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-173u
period 6top-up-477u
period 5top-up-288u
period 4top-up-221u
period 3profit withdrawn+209u
period 2top-up-316u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 150 | 65% | -125 | -8.3% | 15.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 150 | 65% | -126 | -8.5% | 15.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 150 | 65% | -252 | -8.7% | 31.4% | Select |
| Martingale | 150 | 65% | -280 | -8.4% | 39.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 150 | 65% | -635 | -9.3% | 74.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 150 | 65% | -1266 | -10.2% | 135.8% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 150, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 80 | won | +30 | -266 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 76 | won | +37 | -296 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 72 | won | +34 | -333 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 81 | lost | -81 | -368 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 77 | won | +36 | -287 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 73 | won | +36 | -323 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.35 | 71 | won | +25 | -360 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 68 | won | +31 | -384 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | Leo | 1.48 | 75 | lost | -75 | -415 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 72 | won | +33 | -340 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 80 | lost | -80 | -372 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 89 | lost | -89 | -292 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 99 | lost | -99 | -203 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 94 | won | +46 | -104 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 91 | won | +29 | -151 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 101 | lost | -101 | -180 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.39 | 98 | won | +38 | -78 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 93 | won | +46 | -117 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 103 | lost | -103 | -163 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 98 | won | +49 | -59 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 94 | won | +44 | -108 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 91 | won | +34 | -152 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 88 | won | +26 | -186 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 85 | won | +27 | -212 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 95 | lost | -95 | -240 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Eternal Fire | 1.29 | 92 | won | +26 | -145 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 90 | won | +21 | -171 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 100 | lost | -100 | -193 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.48 | 50 | won | +24 | -93 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | HOTU | 1.32 | 48 | won | +16 | -117 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | Nemiga | 1.33 | 47 | won | +15 | -133 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 45 | won | +19 | -148 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 50 | lost | -50 | -166 |
| 27.09.26 | Fluxo – SAW | Fluxo | 1.42 | 55 | lost | -55 | -116 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 53 | won | +23 | -61 |
| 27.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Yawara | Yawara | 1.48 | 51 | won | +24 | -84 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | overTIME | 1.48 | 48 | won | +23 | -108 |
| 26.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.42 | 46 | won | +20 | -131 |
| 26.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.48 | 52 | lost | -52 | -151 |
| 25.09.26 | NEXVOID – Legion | NEXVOID | 1.45 | 49 | won | +22 | -99 |
| 25.09.26 | EAC – Lilmix | EAC | 1.49 | 47 | won | +23 | -122 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | Nemiga | 1.36 | 45 | won | +16 | -145 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – GBC | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.43 | 44 | won | +19 | -161 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Famalicão | Fluxo | 1.42 | 42 | won | +17 | -180 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | LAG | 1.37 | 40 | won | +15 | -197 |
| 24.09.26 | Galorys – Low Cortisol BR | Galorys | 1.43 | 39 | won | +17 | -212 |
| 24.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Keyd Stars | Keyd Stars | 1.38 | 43 | lost | -43 | -229 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.35 | 48 | lost | -48 | -186 |
| 23.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – STATE | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.48 | 53 | lost | -53 | -138 |
| 23.09.26 | Isurus – METANOIA Wolves | Isurus | 1.30 | 59 | lost | -59 | -85 |
| 22.09.26 | ODDIK – Sementes do Mal | ODDIK | 1.42 | 57 | won | +24 | -26 |
| 22.09.26 | DAMAJUANA – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.44 | 54 | won | +24 | -50 |
| 22.09.26 | Inner Circle – 3DMAX | Inner Circle | 1.50 | 60 | lost | -60 | -74 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | LPH | 1.38 | 58 | won | +22 | -14 |
| 22.09.26 | mellren – KUUSAMO | mellren | 1.41 | 64 | lost | -64 | -36 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 62 | won | +27 | 29 |
| 15.09.26 | QUAZAR – Permitta | QUAZAR | 1.39 | 59 | won | +23 | 2 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.29 | 58 | won | +17 | -21 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 64 | lost | -64 | -38 |
| 13.09.26 | SINNERS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.44 | 61 | won | +27 | 26 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.