Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-252u
ROI
-8.7%
win rate
65%
bets
150
drawdown
31.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-27u
period 6top-up-102u
period 5top-up-56u
period 4top-up-44u
period 3profit withdrawn+45u
period 2top-up-68u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 150 | 65% | -125 | -8.3% | 15.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 150 | 65% | -126 | -8.5% | 15.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 150 | 65% | -252 | -8.7% | 31.4% | Selected |
| Martingale | 150 | 65% | -280 | -8.4% | 39.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 150 | 65% | -635 | -9.3% | 74.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 150 | 65% | -1266 | -10.2% | 135.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 150, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 19 | won | +7 | 748 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 19 | won | +9 | 741 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 19 | won | +9 | 731 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 19 | lost | -19 | 722 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 19 | won | +9 | 741 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 19 | won | +9 | 732 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.35 | 19 | won | +7 | 723 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 19 | won | +8 | 717 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | Leo | 1.48 | 19 | lost | -19 | 708 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 19 | won | +9 | 727 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 19 | lost | -19 | 719 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 20 | lost | -20 | 738 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 20 | lost | -20 | 758 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 778 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 20 | won | +6 | 768 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 20 | lost | -20 | 762 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.39 | 20 | won | +8 | 782 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 774 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 20 | lost | -20 | 764 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 784 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 774 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 20 | won | +7 | 765 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 20 | won | +6 | 758 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 19 | won | +6 | 752 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 20 | lost | -20 | 746 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Eternal Fire | 1.29 | 20 | won | +6 | 765 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 20 | won | +5 | 760 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 755 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.48 | 18 | won | +9 | 775 |
| 29.09.26 | Refresher – HOTU | HOTU | 1.32 | 18 | won | +6 | 767 |
| 28.09.26 | Nemiga – FOKUS | Nemiga | 1.33 | 18 | won | +6 | 761 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 17 | won | +7 | 755 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 18 | lost | -18 | 748 |
| 27.09.26 | Fluxo – SAW | Fluxo | 1.42 | 18 | lost | -18 | 766 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 18 | won | +8 | 784 |
| 27.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Yawara | Yawara | 1.48 | 18 | won | +8 | 776 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | overTIME | 1.48 | 18 | won | +8 | 768 |
| 26.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.42 | 17 | won | +7 | 759 |
| 26.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.48 | 18 | lost | -18 | 752 |
| 25.09.26 | NEXVOID – Legion | NEXVOID | 1.45 | 18 | won | +8 | 770 |
| 25.09.26 | EAC – Lilmix | EAC | 1.49 | 18 | won | +9 | 761 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | Nemiga | 1.36 | 17 | won | +6 | 753 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – GBC | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.43 | 17 | won | +7 | 747 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Famalicão | Fluxo | 1.42 | 17 | won | +7 | 739 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | LAG | 1.37 | 17 | won | +6 | 732 |
| 24.09.26 | Galorys – Low Cortisol BR | Galorys | 1.43 | 17 | won | +7 | 726 |
| 24.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Keyd Stars | Keyd Stars | 1.38 | 17 | lost | -17 | 719 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.35 | 18 | lost | -18 | 736 |
| 23.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – STATE | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.48 | 18 | lost | -18 | 753 |
| 23.09.26 | Isurus – METANOIA Wolves | Isurus | 1.30 | 18 | lost | -18 | 771 |
| 22.09.26 | ODDIK – Sementes do Mal | ODDIK | 1.42 | 18 | won | +8 | 789 |
| 22.09.26 | DAMAJUANA – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.44 | 18 | won | +8 | 782 |
| 22.09.26 | Inner Circle – 3DMAX | Inner Circle | 1.50 | 18 | lost | -18 | 774 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | LPH | 1.38 | 18 | won | +7 | 792 |
| 22.09.26 | mellren – KUUSAMO | mellren | 1.41 | 19 | lost | -19 | 785 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 18 | won | +8 | 804 |
| 15.09.26 | QUAZAR – Permitta | QUAZAR | 1.39 | 18 | won | +7 | 796 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.29 | 18 | won | +5 | 789 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 18 | lost | -18 | 783 |
| 13.09.26 | SINNERS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.44 | 18 | won | +8 | 802 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.