Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-188u
ROI
-6.6%
win rate
66%
bets
143
drawdown
29.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-53u
period 6profit withdrawn+88u
period 5top-up-25u
period 4top-up-131u
period 3profit withdrawn+13u
period 2top-up-80u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 143 | 66% | -95 | -6.7% | 15.2% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 143 | 66% | -97 | -6.7% | 15.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 143 | 66% | -103 | -3.9% | 25.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 143 | 66% | -188 | -6.6% | 29.7% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 143 | 66% | -455 | -6.5% | 69.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 143 | 66% | -877 | -6.4% | 124.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 143, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 19 | won | +7 | 812 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 19 | won | +9 | 805 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 18 | won | +9 | 796 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 19 | lost | -19 | 787 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | Galorys | 1.41 | 19 | won | +8 | 806 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 19 | won | +6 | 798 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 18 | won | +8 | 792 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 18 | won | +8 | 784 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 19 | lost | -19 | 776 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 19 | lost | -19 | 794 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 19 | won | +9 | 813 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 19 | lost | -19 | 804 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Grêmio | Galorys | 1.39 | 20 | lost | -20 | 823 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 20 | lost | -20 | 843 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 863 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 20 | won | +7 | 854 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 20 | won | +6 | 846 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 19 | won | +6 | 840 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 20 | lost | -20 | 834 |
| 02.10.26 | FOKUS – MTX | FOKUS | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 854 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 845 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.48 | 22 | won | +10 | 865 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 21 | won | +9 | 854 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 22 | lost | -22 | 846 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | Fluxo | 1.43 | 22 | won | +9 | 867 |
| 27.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Phantom Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.45 | 22 | lost | -22 | 858 |
| 27.09.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Yawara | Yawara | 1.48 | 22 | won | +10 | 880 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | overTIME | 1.48 | 22 | won | +10 | 870 |
| 26.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.42 | 21 | won | +9 | 859 |
| 26.09.26 | SportsBetExpert – my life be like | SportsBetExpert | 1.30 | 21 | won | +6 | 850 |
| 26.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.48 | 22 | lost | -22 | 844 |
| 25.09.26 | EAC – Lilmix | EAC | 1.49 | 22 | won | +11 | 866 |
| 25.09.26 | Nemiga – INOX Division | Nemiga | 1.36 | 21 | won | +8 | 855 |
| 24.09.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – GBC | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.43 | 21 | won | +9 | 848 |
| 24.09.26 | LPH – Permitta | LPH | 1.47 | 21 | won | +10 | 838 |
| 24.09.26 | Fluxo – Famalicão | Fluxo | 1.42 | 21 | won | +9 | 828 |
| 24.09.26 | LAG – DETONATE | LAG | 1.37 | 21 | won | +8 | 820 |
| 24.09.26 | Galorys – Low Cortisol BR | Galorys | 1.43 | 21 | won | +9 | 812 |
| 23.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – megoshort | Bushido Wildcats | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 803 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.35 | 21 | lost | -21 | 794 |
| 23.09.26 | mellren – Permitta | mellren | 1.39 | 21 | won | +8 | 815 |
| 23.09.26 | FlyQuest – LFO 8 | FlyQuest | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 807 |
| 23.09.26 | Galorys – EXODIA | Galorys | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 796 |
| 22.09.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 787 |
| 22.09.26 | Revise – Fortress | Revise | 1.36 | 20 | won | +7 | 778 |
| 22.09.26 | Fortress – LPH | LPH | 1.38 | 20 | won | +7 | 770 |
| 19.09.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – PCIFIC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.43 | 20 | won | +8 | 763 |
| 18.09.26 | NuTorious – Without a Roof | Without a Roof | 1.38 | 19 | won | +7 | 755 |
| 17.09.26 | Imperial – Bounty Hunters | Imperial | 1.44 | 19 | won | +8 | 747 |
| 16.09.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.43 | 19 | won | +8 | 739 |
| 14.09.26 | Young27 – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.29 | 19 | won | +5 | 731 |
| 14.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – NAVI Junior | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 19 | lost | -19 | 725 |
| 13.09.26 | SINNERS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.44 | 19 | won | +8 | 744 |
| 13.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – megoshort | Bushido Wildcats | 1.48 | 19 | won | +9 | 736 |
| 13.09.26 | INOX Division – FORZE Reload | INOX Division | 1.44 | 19 | lost | -19 | 727 |
| 12.09.26 | Bebop – benched gods | benched gods | 1.40 | 19 | won | +8 | 746 |
| 11.09.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.25 | 20 | lost | -20 | 739 |
| 11.09.26 | Luminosity – LP | LP | 1.41 | 20 | lost | -20 | 758 |
| 11.09.26 | 1win – Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1win | 1.36 | 20 | won | +7 | 778 |
| 10.09.26 | INOX Division – Black Phoenix | INOX Division | 1.48 | 20 | won | +9 | 771 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.