Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-204u
ROI
-18.6%
win rate
57%
bets
23
drawdown
27.1%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-74u
period 3top-up-199u
period 2profit withdrawn+68u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 23 | 57% | -15 | -4.3% | 4.2% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 23 | 57% | -43 | -18.7% | 6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 23 | 57% | -43 | -18.8% | 6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 23 | 57% | -85 | -18.7% | 11.7% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 23 | 57% | -204 | -18.6% | 27.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 23 | 57% | -384 | -18.3% | 48.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 23, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 49 | lost | -49 | 796 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 48 | won | +24 | 845 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 47 | won | +21 | 821 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 49 | lost | -49 | 800 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 48 | won | +22 | 849 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 50 | lost | -50 | 827 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 49 | won | +19 | 878 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 49 | won | +16 | 859 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.43 | 51 | lost | -51 | 843 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 50 | won | +24 | 894 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 42 | lost | -42 | 870 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.39 | 41 | won | +16 | 912 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 1.43 | 44 | lost | -44 | 896 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Spirit | 1.46 | 43 | won | +20 | 939 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Entropy | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.47 | 45 | lost | -45 | 920 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.47 | 47 | lost | -47 | 965 |
| 22.07.26 | HOTU – GamerLegion | HOTU | 1.43 | 46 | won | +20 | 1012 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Nemesis | 1.50 | 49 | lost | -49 | 992 |
| 17.07.26 | Enjoy – PsychoFace | Enjoy | 1.40 | 51 | lost | -51 | 1041 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | Patins da Ferrari | 1.47 | 50 | won | +23 | 1092 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | LP | 1.40 | 52 | won | +21 | 1068 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 51 | won | +24 | 1047 |
| 09.06.26 | PsychoFace – GenOne | GenOne | 1.46 | 50 | won | +23 | 1023 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.