Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-202u
ROI
-15.5%
win rate
57%
bets
44
drawdown
30.8%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-32u
period 3top-up-187u
period 2profit withdrawn+27u
period 1top-up-10u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 44 | 57% | -82 | -18.8% | 9.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 44 | 57% | -84 | -19% | 9.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 44 | 57% | -160 | -18.7% | 18.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 44 | 57% | -202 | -15.5% | 30.8% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 44 | 57% | -371 | -18.2% | 41.1% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 44 | 57% | -655 | -17.3% | 69.9% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 44, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 798 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | GenOne | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 808 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 80 | won | +35 | 803 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 40 | lost | -40 | 768 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 20 | lost | -20 | 808 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 828 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 838 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | INOX Division | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 835 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Leo | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 826 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Spirit | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 836 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – BET-M | Butterfly | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 832 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.34 | 10 | won | +3 | 827 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | Inner Circle | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 824 |
| 05.08.26 | Nordic Partners – GenOne | GenOne | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 819 |
| 05.08.26 | BESTIA – METANOIA Wolves | BESTIA | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 815 |
| 03.08.26 | fnatic – Lilmix | fnatic | 1.34 | 20 | won | +7 | 811 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – ex-MANA | Leo | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 804 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 814 |
| 02.08.26 | 9INE – BRUTE | BRUTE | 1.50 | 80 | won | +40 | 810 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 40 | lost | -40 | 770 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 20 | lost | -20 | 810 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 830 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.39 | 20 | won | +8 | 840 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 832 |
| 30.07.26 | Liquid – Spirit | Spirit | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 842 |
| 28.07.26 | HTX – TDK | TDK | 1.41 | 320 | won | +132 | 838 |
| 28.07.26 | TDK – BAKS | TDK | 1.37 | 160 | lost | -160 | 706 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Entropy | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.47 | 80 | lost | -80 | 866 |
| 26.07.26 | QUAZAR – NEW VISION | QUAZAR | 1.28 | 40 | lost | -40 | 946 |
| 25.07.26 | HOTU – Astralis | HOTU | 1.37 | 20 | lost | -20 | 986 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1006 |
| 22.07.26 | HOTU – GamerLegion | HOTU | 1.43 | 20 | won | +9 | 1016 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Nemesis | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1007 |
| 18.07.26 | ex-RUBY – PsychoFace | ex-RUBY | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 1017 |
| 17.07.26 | Enjoy – PsychoFace | Enjoy | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1009 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | Patins da Ferrari | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1019 |
| 07.07.26 | PsychoFace – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.39 | 20 | won | +8 | 1015 |
| 01.07.26 | PARIVISION – Alliance | Alliance | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1007 |
| 24.06.26 | LP – Vasco | LP | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 1017 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 1013 |
| 12.06.26 | SPARTA – GenOne | GenOne | 1.45 | 10 | won | +4 | 1008 |
| 09.06.26 | PsychoFace – GenOne | GenOne | 1.46 | 10 | won | +5 | 1004 |
| 06.06.26 | aAa – GenOne | GenOne | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 999 |
| 29.05.26 | TNC – Young Ninjas | TNC | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.