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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

CSCS2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
-953u
ROI
-7.8%
win rate
67%
bets
612
drawdown
110.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+18u
period 6top-up-630u
period 5profit withdrawn+33u
period 4top-up-327u
period 3top-up-6u
period 2top-up-41u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll61267%-343-5.9%39.4%Select
Flat (10 units)61267%-352-5.8%41.4%Select
2% of bankroll61267%-670-6.1%74%Select
Martingale61267%-953-7.8%110.3%Select
5% of bankroll61267%-1565-6.6%161.5%Select
10% of bankroll61267%-2833-7.7%270.6%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 612, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3810won+447
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4920won+1043
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-1034
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+444
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+439
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4520won+935
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.4510lost-1026
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+536
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3410won+332
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+528
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4820won+1023
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-1014
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+524
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2920won+619
11.10.26FOKUS – Nordic PartnersFOKUS1.4510lost-1013
11.10.26Imperial – NRGImperial1.3710won+423
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4020won+820
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-1012
11.10.26Fire Flux – GothicFire Flux1.4810won+522
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5010won+517
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGFlyQuest1.4210won+412
11.10.26Unreal Nightmare – Without a RoofWithout a Roof1.2510won+38
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4120won+85
10.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10-3
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4210won+47
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3510won+33
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3180won+25-1
10.10.26DENDELE – MarsborneMarsborne1.4440lost-40-25
10.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorSangal1.4920lost-2015
10.10.26Iberian Soul – NemigaNemiga1.2310lost-1035
10.10.26mellren – Honvédmellren1.3610won+445
10.10.26Mindfreak – AbyssalAbyssal1.4910won+541
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4510won+536
10.10.26BGNS Orange – Ground ZeroGround Zero1.5080won+4032
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsFarmVille1.4740lost-40-8
10.10.26THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS OrangeTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1.4820lost-2032
09.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – PRIVATENuclear TigeRES1.4410lost-1052
09.10.26Sangal – G2 AresSangal1.4810won+562
09.10.26Lavked – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4220won+857
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4810lost-1048
09.10.26Vitality – PARIVISIONVitality1.3910won+458
09.10.26Nemiga – GothicNemiga1.1810won+254
09.10.26EAC – SangalSangal1.4710won+553
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4540won+1848
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4020lost-2030
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3610lost-1050
09.10.26METANOIA Wolves – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.4810won+560
08.10.26Galorys – Low Cortisol BRGalorys1.3920won+855
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4910lost-1047
08.10.26Lilmix – Fire FluxFire Flux1.2320won+557
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.5010lost-1053
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2610won+363
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4910won+560
08.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.3240won+1355
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4220lost-2042
08.10.26Nemesis – SINNERSNemesis1.4910lost-1062
08.10.26Nemiga – LavkedNemiga1.1510won+272
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.3910won+471
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSTurma do Pagode1.4510won+567
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPLP1.3540won+1462
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.