Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-73u
ROI
-18.4%
win rate
57%
bets
40
drawdown
7.3%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-27u
period 3top-up-40u
period 2profit withdrawn+4u
period 1top-up-10u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 40 | 57% | -49 | -6.6% | 9.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 40 | 57% | -73 | -18.4% | 7.3% | Selected |
| Flat (10 units) | 40 | 57% | -73 | -18.2% | 7.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 40 | 57% | -145 | -18.5% | 14.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 40 | 57% | -359 | -19% | 35.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 40 | 57% | -702 | -19.8% | 70.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 40, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.08.26 | Black Phoenix – Bushido Wildcats | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 927 |
| 19.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Endless Journey | Bushido Wildcats | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 937 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Omega | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 933 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Bushido Wildcats | 1.29 | 10 | won | +3 | 943 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | WBT | 1.36 | 10 | won | +4 | 940 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Bushido Wildcats | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 936 |
| 17.08.26 | Enjoy – HAVU | Enjoy | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 932 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Bushido Wildcats | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 942 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 938 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 948 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Bushido Wildcats | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 958 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | Endless Journey | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 955 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | Bushido Wildcats | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 965 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | GenOne | 1.44 | 10 | won | +4 | 960 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | Isurus | 1.40 | 10 | won | +4 | 956 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Virtus.pro | 1.48 | 10 | won | +5 | 952 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | fnatic | 1.34 | 10 | won | +3 | 947 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | ex-RUSTEC | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 944 |
| 03.08.26 | Imperial – Procyon | Imperial | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 939 |
| 01.08.26 | ex-1win – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 934 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 944 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | HOTU | 1.46 | 10 | lost | -10 | 954 |
| 31.07.26 | INOX Division – Falcons Force | INOX Division | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 964 |
| 30.07.26 | Nordic Partners – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.46 | 10 | won | +4 | 960 |
| 28.07.26 | GenOne – NEW VISION | GenOne | 1.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 956 |
| 27.07.26 | BRUTE – LEO SE | BRUTE | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 966 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Entropy | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 961 |
| 26.07.26 | QUAZAR – NEW VISION | QUAZAR | 1.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 971 |
| 24.07.26 | 3DMAX – magic | magic | 1.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | 980 |
| 22.07.26 | HOTU – GamerLegion | HOTU | 1.43 | 10 | won | +4 | 990 |
| 18.07.26 | ex-RUBY – PsychoFace | ex-RUBY | 1.37 | 10 | won | +4 | 986 |
| 18.07.26 | PsychoFace – QUAZAR | QUAZAR | 1.38 | 10 | lost | -10 | 982 |
| 13.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Honvéd | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 992 |
| 07.07.26 | PsychoFace – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.39 | 10 | won | +4 | 988 |
| 01.07.26 | PARIVISION – Alliance | Alliance | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 984 |
| 17.06.26 | KOLESIE – illwill | KOLESIE | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 994 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 989 |
| 14.06.26 | illwill – Virtus.pro | Virtus.pro | 1.47 | 10 | lost | -10 | 984 |
| 11.06.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | GenOne | 1.42 | 10 | won | +4 | 994 |
| 29.05.26 | TNC – Young Ninjas | TNC | 1.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.