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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
-339u
ROI
-5.8%
win rate
67%
bets
613
drawdown
39.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-18u
period 6top-up-82u
period 5profit withdrawn+14u
period 4top-up-175u
period 3top-up-24u
period 2top-up-53u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll61367%-339-5.8%39.3%Select
Flat (10 units)61367%-348-5.7%41.3%Select
2% of bankroll61367%-661-6%73.7%Select
Martingale40764%-1337-14.8%133.1%Select
5% of bankroll61367%-1545-6.5%161.5%Select
10% of bankroll61367%-2803-7.6%270.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 613, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.4710won+5661
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3810won+4657
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+5653
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-10648
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4658
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4654
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+4650
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.4510lost-10646
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+4655
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3410won+3651
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5648
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5643
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10638
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+5648
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+3644
11.10.26FOKUS – Nordic PartnersFOKUS1.4510lost-10641
11.10.26Imperial – NRGImperial1.3710won+4650
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+4647
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-10643
11.10.26Fire Flux – GothicFire Flux1.4810won+5653
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5010won+5648
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGFlyQuest1.4210won+4643
11.10.26Unreal Nightmare – Without a RoofWithout a Roof1.2510won+2639
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4110won+4637
10.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10633
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4210won+4643
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3110won+3639
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneMarsborne1.3510won+3636
10.10.26DENDELE – MarsborneMarsborne1.4410lost-10632
10.10.26Sangal – NAVI JuniorSangal1.4910lost-10642
10.10.26Iberian Soul – NemigaNemiga1.2310lost-10652
10.10.26mellren – Honvédmellren1.3610won+4661
10.10.26Mindfreak – AbyssalAbyssal1.4910won+5658
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4510won+4653
10.10.26BGNS Orange – Ground ZeroGround Zero1.5010won+5649
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsFarmVille1.4710lost-10644
10.10.26THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS OrangeTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1.4810lost-10654
09.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – PRIVATENuclear TigeRES1.4410lost-10663
09.10.26Sangal – G2 AresSangal1.4810won+5673
09.10.26Lavked – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4210won+4669
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4810lost-10665
09.10.26Vitality – PARIVISIONVitality1.3910won+4675
09.10.26Nemiga – GothicNemiga1.1810won+2671
09.10.26EAC – SangalSangal1.4710won+5669
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4510won+4664
09.10.26mellren – Bebopmellren1.3610lost-10660
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4010lost-10670
09.10.26METANOIA Wolves – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.4810won+5680
08.10.26Galorys – Low Cortisol BRGalorys1.3910won+4675
08.10.26FaZe – SangalSangal1.4910lost-10671
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2610won+3681
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.5010lost-10678
08.10.26Lilmix – Fire FluxFire Flux1.2310won+2689
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4910won+5686
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerThe Last Resort1.4210lost-10681
08.10.26BERG – mellrenmellren1.3210won+3691
08.10.26Nemesis – SINNERSNemesis1.4910lost-10688
08.10.26Nemiga – LavkedNemiga1.1510won+2698
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.3910won+4697
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGalorys1.3910lost-10693
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.