Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-756u
ROI
-2.9%
win rate
69%
bets
331
drawdown
122.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+276u
period 6top-up-464u
period 5profit withdrawn+548u
period 4top-up-706u
period 3top-up-96u
period 2top-up-314u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 331 | 69% | -87 | -2.7% | 20.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 331 | 69% | -89 | -2.7% | 21.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 331 | 69% | -170 | -2.7% | 38.7% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 331 | 69% | -400 | -2.7% | 80.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 331 | 69% | -448 | -7% | 70.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 331 | 69% | -756 | -2.9% | 122.4% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 331, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 123 | won | +47 | 244 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 117 | won | +57 | 197 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | Aurora | 1.46 | 130 | lost | -130 | 140 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | Galorys | 1.43 | 125 | won | +54 | 270 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | Black Phoenix | 1.40 | 120 | won | +48 | 216 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.45 | 115 | won | +52 | 168 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.46 | 110 | won | +50 | 116 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.50 | 105 | won | +52 | 66 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 100 | won | +48 | 14 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 111 | lost | -111 | -33 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 106 | won | +50 | 78 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | GenOne | 1.29 | 103 | won | +30 | 28 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | mellren | 1.40 | 99 | won | +39 | -2 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Spirit | 1.50 | 110 | lost | -110 | -41 |
| 11.10.26 | FlyQuest – KZG | FlyQuest | 1.42 | 106 | won | +44 | 69 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | Galorys | 1.41 | 101 | won | +42 | 24 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.42 | 97 | won | +41 | -17 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 94 | won | +29 | -58 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.23 | 105 | lost | -105 | -87 |
| 10.10.26 | Mindfreak – Abyssal | Abyssal | 1.49 | 100 | won | +49 | 18 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 96 | won | +43 | -32 |
| 10.10.26 | BGNS Orange – Ground Zero | Ground Zero | 1.50 | 91 | won | +46 | -75 |
| 10.10.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS Orange | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1.48 | 101 | lost | -101 | -120 |
| 09.10.26 | Sangal – G2 Ares | Sangal | 1.48 | 97 | won | +46 | -19 |
| 09.10.26 | Lavked – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.42 | 93 | won | +39 | -65 |
| 09.10.26 | Vitality – PARIVISION | Vitality | 1.39 | 89 | won | +35 | -104 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 85 | won | +39 | -139 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 95 | lost | -95 | -178 |
| 09.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.48 | 91 | won | +43 | -83 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 101 | lost | -101 | -126 |
| 08.10.26 | Lilmix – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.23 | 98 | won | +22 | -25 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 94 | won | +46 | -48 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 104 | lost | -104 | -94 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.39 | 100 | won | +39 | 10 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 97 | won | +34 | -29 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Grêmio | Galorys | 1.39 | 108 | lost | -108 | -63 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 120 | lost | -120 | 45 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – RBLS | Sangal | 1.50 | 114 | won | +56 | 165 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 127 | lost | -127 | 108 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – Famalicão | Sangal | 1.38 | 122 | won | +46 | 235 |
| 07.10.26 | Alter Ego – Legion | Alter Ego | 1.47 | 117 | won | +55 | 188 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 112 | won | +46 | 133 |
| 07.10.26 | HOTU – STATE | HOTU | 1.45 | 107 | won | +48 | 88 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 102 | won | +47 | 39 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | Spirit | 1.22 | 100 | won | +22 | -8 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 97 | won | +36 | -30 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 94 | won | +28 | -67 |
| 02.10.26 | Johnny Speeds – MTX | Johnny Speeds | 1.45 | 104 | lost | -104 | -95 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 101 | won | +32 | 10 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 112 | lost | -112 | -23 |
| 02.10.26 | Sangal – XEPT | Sangal | 1.38 | 108 | won | +41 | 89 |
| 02.10.26 | Nordic Partners – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.48 | 103 | won | +49 | 48 |
| 02.10.26 | EAC EXTRA – FOKUS | FOKUS | 1.48 | 98 | won | +47 | -1 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | 100 Thieves | 1.33 | 95 | won | +32 | -48 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Lilmix | 100 Thieves | 1.18 | 94 | won | +17 | -80 |
| 02.10.26 | SINNERS – Lilmix | SINNERS | 1.29 | 91 | won | +27 | -97 |
| 02.10.26 | FOKUS – MTX | FOKUS | 1.46 | 87 | won | +40 | -123 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | SportsBetExpert | 1.27 | 85 | won | +23 | -164 |
| 02.10.26 | Marsborne – Overtake Sector | Marsborne | 1.44 | 81 | won | +36 | -186 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 90 | lost | -90 | -222 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.