Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-170u
ROI
-2.7%
win rate
69%
bets
331
drawdown
38.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+70u
period 6top-up-78u
period 5profit withdrawn+113u
period 4top-up-202u
period 3top-up-8u
period 2top-up-65u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 331 | 69% | -87 | -2.7% | 20.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 331 | 69% | -89 | -2.7% | 21.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 331 | 69% | -170 | -2.7% | 38.7% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 331 | 69% | -400 | -2.7% | 80.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 331 | 69% | -448 | -7% | 70.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 331 | 69% | -756 | -2.9% | 122.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 331, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 21 | won | +8 | 830 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 21 | won | +10 | 822 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | Aurora | 1.46 | 21 | lost | -21 | 812 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | Galorys | 1.43 | 21 | won | +9 | 834 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | Black Phoenix | 1.40 | 21 | won | +8 | 824 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.45 | 21 | won | +9 | 816 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.46 | 21 | won | +9 | 806 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.50 | 21 | won | +10 | 797 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 20 | won | +10 | 787 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 21 | lost | -21 | 777 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 21 | won | +10 | 798 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | GenOne | 1.29 | 20 | won | +6 | 788 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | mellren | 1.40 | 20 | won | +8 | 782 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Spirit | 1.50 | 21 | lost | -21 | 774 |
| 11.10.26 | FlyQuest – KZG | FlyQuest | 1.42 | 21 | won | +9 | 795 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | Galorys | 1.41 | 20 | won | +8 | 786 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.42 | 20 | won | +8 | 778 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 20 | won | +6 | 770 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.23 | 20 | lost | -20 | 763 |
| 10.10.26 | Mindfreak – Abyssal | Abyssal | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 784 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 774 |
| 10.10.26 | BGNS Orange – Ground Zero | Ground Zero | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 765 |
| 10.10.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS Orange | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1.48 | 20 | lost | -20 | 755 |
| 09.10.26 | Sangal – G2 Ares | Sangal | 1.48 | 20 | won | +10 | 775 |
| 09.10.26 | Lavked – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.42 | 20 | won | +8 | 766 |
| 09.10.26 | Vitality – PARIVISION | Vitality | 1.39 | 20 | won | +8 | 757 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 749 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 20 | lost | -20 | 741 |
| 09.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.48 | 20 | won | +9 | 761 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 20 | lost | -20 | 751 |
| 08.10.26 | Lilmix – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.23 | 20 | won | +5 | 771 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 767 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 20 | lost | -20 | 757 |
| 08.10.26 | Wanted Goons – Iowa Stormboar | Iowa Stormboar | 1.39 | 20 | won | +8 | 777 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 20 | won | +7 | 769 |
| 08.10.26 | Galorys – Grêmio | Galorys | 1.39 | 20 | lost | -20 | 762 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 21 | lost | -21 | 783 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – RBLS | Sangal | 1.50 | 21 | won | +10 | 804 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 21 | lost | -21 | 793 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – Famalicão | Sangal | 1.38 | 21 | won | +8 | 814 |
| 07.10.26 | Alter Ego – Legion | Alter Ego | 1.47 | 21 | won | +10 | 807 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 21 | won | +8 | 797 |
| 07.10.26 | HOTU – STATE | HOTU | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 788 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 779 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | Spirit | 1.22 | 20 | won | +4 | 770 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 20 | won | +7 | 765 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 20 | won | +6 | 758 |
| 02.10.26 | Johnny Speeds – MTX | Johnny Speeds | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 752 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 20 | won | +6 | 772 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 21 | lost | -21 | 766 |
| 02.10.26 | Sangal – XEPT | Sangal | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 786 |
| 02.10.26 | Nordic Partners – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.48 | 20 | won | +10 | 778 |
| 02.10.26 | EAC EXTRA – FOKUS | FOKUS | 1.48 | 20 | won | +10 | 769 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | 100 Thieves | 1.33 | 20 | won | +7 | 759 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Lilmix | 100 Thieves | 1.18 | 20 | won | +4 | 753 |
| 02.10.26 | SINNERS – Lilmix | SINNERS | 1.29 | 20 | won | +6 | 749 |
| 02.10.26 | FOKUS – MTX | FOKUS | 1.46 | 19 | won | +9 | 743 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | SportsBetExpert | 1.27 | 19 | won | +5 | 734 |
| 02.10.26 | Marsborne – Overtake Sector | Marsborne | 1.44 | 19 | won | +8 | 729 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 721 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.