Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-1356u
ROI
-5.4%
win rate
67%
bets
342
drawdown
150.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-159u
period 6top-up-754u
period 5profit withdrawn+620u
period 4top-up-649u
period 3top-up-98u
period 2top-up-316u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 342 | 67% | -177 | -5.4% | 22.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 342 | 67% | -182 | -5.3% | 23.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 342 | 67% | -344 | -5.4% | 43.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 342 | 67% | -595 | -8.5% | 74.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 342 | 67% | -785 | -5.4% | 94.8% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 342 | 67% | -1356 | -5.4% | 150.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 342, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FORZE Reload – LFO 10 | FORZE Reload | 1.47 | 80 | won | +38 | -356 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 77 | won | +29 | -393 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 74 | won | +36 | -423 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | Aurora | 1.46 | 82 | lost | -82 | -459 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | Galorys | 1.43 | 79 | won | +34 | -377 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | Black Phoenix | 1.40 | 76 | won | +30 | -411 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.45 | 72 | won | +33 | -441 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.46 | 69 | won | +32 | -473 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.50 | 66 | won | +33 | -505 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 73 | lost | -73 | -538 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 70 | won | +33 | -465 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | GenOne | 1.29 | 68 | won | +20 | -497 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | mellren | 1.40 | 65 | won | +26 | -517 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Spirit | 1.50 | 73 | lost | -73 | -543 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 69 | won | +34 | -470 |
| 11.10.26 | FlyQuest – KZG | FlyQuest | 1.42 | 66 | won | +28 | -505 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.42 | 64 | won | +27 | -533 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 62 | won | +19 | -559 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.23 | 69 | lost | -69 | -578 |
| 10.10.26 | Mindfreak – Abyssal | Abyssal | 1.49 | 66 | won | +32 | -510 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 63 | won | +28 | -542 |
| 10.10.26 | BGNS Orange – Ground Zero | Ground Zero | 1.50 | 60 | won | +30 | -570 |
| 10.10.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS Orange | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1.48 | 66 | lost | -66 | -600 |
| 09.10.26 | Lavked – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.42 | 64 | won | +27 | -534 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | Leo | 1.48 | 71 | lost | -71 | -561 |
| 09.10.26 | Vitality – PARIVISION | Vitality | 1.39 | 68 | won | +27 | -490 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 65 | won | +29 | -516 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 72 | lost | -72 | -546 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 80 | lost | -80 | -473 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 78 | won | +20 | -393 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 87 | lost | -87 | -413 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 83 | won | +41 | -326 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | The Last Resort | 1.42 | 92 | lost | -92 | -367 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 89 | won | +28 | -275 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | LP | 1.35 | 86 | won | +30 | -303 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 96 | lost | -96 | -334 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 91 | won | +45 | -238 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 88 | won | +32 | -283 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 98 | lost | -98 | -315 |
| 07.10.26 | SAW – Famalicão | SAW | 1.43 | 94 | won | +41 | -217 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – Famalicão | Sangal | 1.38 | 91 | won | +34 | -257 |
| 07.10.26 | SAW – NAVI Junior | SAW | 1.48 | 101 | lost | -101 | -292 |
| 07.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – ENCE | ENCE | 1.41 | 112 | lost | -112 | -191 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.28 | 124 | lost | -124 | -79 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 119 | won | +49 | 45 |
| 07.10.26 | HOTU – STATE | HOTU | 1.45 | 114 | won | +52 | -4 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 109 | won | +51 | -55 |
| 06.10.26 | Gothic – mellren | mellren | 1.48 | 104 | won | +50 | -106 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | Spirit | 1.22 | 102 | won | +23 | -156 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 98 | won | +37 | -179 |
| 03.10.26 | Legacy – PARIVISION | Legacy | 1.37 | 109 | lost | -109 | -216 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 106 | won | +32 | -107 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Eternal Fire | 1.24 | 103 | won | +25 | -138 |
| 02.10.26 | Johnny Speeds – MTX | Johnny Speeds | 1.45 | 115 | lost | -115 | -163 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 111 | won | +36 | -48 |
| 02.10.26 | Sangal – XEPT | Sangal | 1.38 | 107 | won | +41 | -84 |
| 02.10.26 | Nordic Partners – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.48 | 102 | won | +49 | -125 |
| 02.10.26 | EAC EXTRA – FOKUS | FOKUS | 1.48 | 98 | won | +47 | -174 |
| 02.10.26 | Lilmix – Eternal Fire | Eternal Fire | 1.13 | 96 | won | +12 | -220 |
| 02.10.26 | JiJieHao – MTX | JiJieHao | 1.42 | 93 | won | +39 | -233 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.