Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-442u
ROI
-7.2%
win rate
66%
bets
334
drawdown
53.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+30u
period 6top-up-292u
period 5profit withdrawn+36u
period 4top-up-145u
period 3profit withdrawn+8u
period 2top-up-78u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 334 | 66% | -230 | -7.2% | 28.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 334 | 66% | -240 | -7.2% | 30.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 334 | 66% | -442 | -7.2% | 53.4% | Select |
| Martingale | 334 | 66% | -481 | -6.9% | 59.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 334 | 66% | -987 | -7.1% | 112.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 334 | 66% | -1707 | -7.1% | 177% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 334, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 558 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | Aurora | 1.46 | 21 | lost | -21 | 548 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | Galorys | 1.43 | 21 | won | +9 | 569 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | Black Phoenix | 1.40 | 20 | won | +8 | 560 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 552 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.46 | 20 | won | +9 | 543 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.34 | 20 | won | +7 | 533 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1.50 | 20 | won | +10 | 527 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 20 | won | +9 | 517 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 20 | lost | -20 | 507 |
| 11.10.26 | mellren – Lavked | mellren | 1.47 | 20 | won | +9 | 527 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | GenOne | 1.29 | 20 | won | +6 | 518 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | mellren | 1.40 | 20 | won | +8 | 512 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Spirit | 1.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 505 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.42 | 20 | won | +8 | 525 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 20 | won | +6 | 516 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Marsborne | 1.35 | 20 | won | +7 | 510 |
| 10.10.26 | Iberian Soul – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.23 | 20 | lost | -20 | 504 |
| 10.10.26 | Mindfreak – Abyssal | Abyssal | 1.49 | 20 | won | +10 | 523 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 514 |
| 10.10.26 | BGNS Orange – Ground Zero | Ground Zero | 1.50 | 19 | won | +10 | 505 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | FarmVille | 1.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 495 |
| 10.10.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – BGNS Orange | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1.48 | 20 | lost | -20 | 515 |
| 09.10.26 | Lavked – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.42 | 20 | won | +8 | 535 |
| 09.10.26 | Vitality – PARIVISION | Vitality | 1.39 | 20 | won | +8 | 527 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 20 | won | +9 | 519 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 20 | lost | -20 | 510 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 530 |
| 08.10.26 | FaZe – Sangal | Sangal | 1.49 | 21 | lost | -21 | 551 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 21 | won | +7 | 571 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | Turma do Pagode | 1.45 | 21 | won | +9 | 565 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 21 | lost | -21 | 555 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 21 | won | +7 | 576 |
| 07.10.26 | SAW – Famalicão | SAW | 1.43 | 21 | won | +9 | 569 |
| 07.10.26 | SAW – NAVI Junior | SAW | 1.48 | 21 | lost | -21 | 560 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.28 | 21 | lost | -21 | 581 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 21 | won | +9 | 603 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 21 | won | +11 | 594 |
| 07.10.26 | HOTU – STATE | HOTU | 1.45 | 21 | won | +9 | 583 |
| 06.10.26 | Falcons – Natus Vincere | Falcons | 1.46 | 21 | won | +10 | 574 |
| 06.10.26 | Gothic – mellren | mellren | 1.48 | 21 | won | +10 | 564 |
| 04.10.26 | Spirit – PARIVISION | Spirit | 1.22 | 20 | won | +5 | 554 |
| 03.10.26 | Banda Chuya – INOX Division | INOX Division | 1.41 | 20 | won | +8 | 550 |
| 03.10.26 | Spirit – ShindeN | Spirit | 1.37 | 20 | won | +8 | 542 |
| 03.10.26 | Legacy – PARIVISION | Legacy | 1.37 | 21 | lost | -21 | 534 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 20 | won | +6 | 555 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Eternal Fire | 1.24 | 20 | won | +5 | 548 |
| 02.10.26 | Johnny Speeds – MTX | Johnny Speeds | 1.45 | 21 | lost | -21 | 544 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 21 | won | +7 | 564 |
| 02.10.26 | Sangal – XEPT | Sangal | 1.38 | 20 | won | +8 | 558 |
| 02.10.26 | Nordic Partners – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.48 | 20 | won | +10 | 550 |
| 02.10.26 | EAC EXTRA – FOKUS | FOKUS | 1.48 | 20 | won | +10 | 540 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Nordic Partners | 100 Thieves | 1.33 | 20 | won | +7 | 531 |
| 02.10.26 | JiJieHao – MTX | JiJieHao | 1.42 | 20 | won | +8 | 524 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – HAVU | SportsBetExpert | 1.27 | 20 | won | +5 | 516 |
| 02.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Anteiku | 100 Thieves | 1.41 | 19 | won | +8 | 510 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Nordic Partners | Eternal Fire | 1.29 | 19 | won | +6 | 502 |
| 02.10.26 | Marsborne – Overtake Sector | Marsborne | 1.44 | 19 | won | +8 | 497 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 20 | lost | -20 | 488 |
| 01.10.26 | BIG – fnatic | fnatic | 1.48 | 20 | lost | -20 | 508 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.