Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
-83u
ROI
-1.5%
win rate
58%
bets
547
drawdown
22.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-20u
period 6profit withdrawn+53u
period 5top-up-133u
period 4profit withdrawn+56u
period 3top-up-38u
period 2top-up-24u
period 1profit withdrawn+22u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 547 | 58% | +604 | +4.7% | 34.2% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 547 | 58% | -83 | -1.5% | 22.4% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 547 | 58% | -90 | -1.6% | 21.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 547 | 58% | -193 | -1.8% | 39.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 547 | 58% | -590 | -2.1% | 78.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 547 | 58% | -1543 | -2.8% | 143.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 547, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | HOTU | 1.77 | 10 | lost | -10 | 917 |
| 14.10.26 | BET-M – FORZE Reload | FORZE Reload | 1.69 | 10 | won | +7 | 927 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 10 | won | +4 | 920 |
| 14.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Alter Ego | 1.76 | 10 | lost | -10 | 916 |
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | Enjoy | 1.87 | 10 | won | +9 | 926 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 10 | won | +7 | 917 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | Liquid | 1.70 | 10 | won | +7 | 910 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 10 | won | +5 | 903 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.72 | 10 | won | +7 | 898 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 891 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 901 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | benched gods | 1.86 | 10 | lost | -10 | 911 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Abyssal | 1.51 | 10 | won | +5 | 921 |
| 10.10.26 | regain – Villainous | regain | 1.62 | 10 | won | +6 | 916 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Procyon | 1.73 | 10 | won | +7 | 909 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | WBT Academy | 1.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 902 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 912 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 10 | won | +7 | 922 |
| 09.10.26 | Chicken Coop – DETONATE | Chicken Coop | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 915 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 10 | won | +3 | 907 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 10 | lost | -10 | 904 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 10 | won | +5 | 914 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Alter Ego | 1.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 909 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | mellren | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 919 |
| 08.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – Procyon | Bounty Hunters | 1.82 | 10 | won | +8 | 916 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.50 | 10 | won | +5 | 908 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | RBLS | 1.55 | 10 | won | +6 | 903 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 897 |
| 07.10.26 | Revise – Banda Chuya | Revise | 1.59 | 10 | lost | -10 | 907 |
| 07.10.26 | The KnockoutX – The Huns | The Huns | 1.71 | 10 | lost | -10 | 917 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 10 | won | +4 | 927 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | OG | 1.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 923 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | PURE | 1.53 | 10 | won | +5 | 933 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | LPH | 1.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | 928 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 10 | won | +8 | 938 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | Spirit | 1.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 930 |
| 05.10.26 | ShindeN – G2 | G2 | 1.85 | 10 | won | +8 | 940 |
| 03.10.26 | Aurora – 9z | Aurora | 1.61 | 10 | won | +6 | 931 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 10 | won | +5 | 925 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 10 | won | +3 | 920 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – BASEMENT BOYS | Eternal Fire | 1.51 | 10 | won | +5 | 917 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Prestige | Voca | 1.47 | 10 | won | +5 | 912 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 10 | won | +3 | 907 |
| 02.10.26 | Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl | Nexus | 1.63 | 10 | lost | -10 | 904 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 914 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | UNiTY | 1.76 | 10 | won | +8 | 924 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 1.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 916 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 926 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 10 | won | +5 | 936 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 10 | won | +2 | 931 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 928 |
| 01.10.26 | HOTU – Nemesis | HOTU | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 938 |
| 01.10.26 | SAW – NT | SAW | 1.59 | 10 | won | +6 | 948 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 10 | won | +6 | 942 |
| 30.09.26 | EVO Elite – Magnum | Magnum | 1.87 | 10 | won | +9 | 936 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 928 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 10 | lost | -10 | 938 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | Rune Eaters | 1.67 | 10 | won | +7 | 948 |
| 28.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.87 | 10 | lost | -10 | 941 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.64 | 10 | won | +6 | 951 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.