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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-1778u
ROI
-7.3%
win rate
53%
bets
2438
drawdown
182.3%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-308u
period 3top-up-696u
period 2top-up-281u
period 1top-up-493u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale7748%-1000-36.2%100%Select
1% of bankroll243853%-1460-7.3%149.1%Select
Flat (10 units)243853%-1778-7.3%182.3%Select
2% of bankroll243853%-2420-7.2%242.2%Select
5% of bankroll243853%-3671-6.7%354.9%Select
10% of bankroll243853%-3988-5%203.9%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2438, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Lavked – ENCEENCE1.8210won+8-778
20.08.26LPH – WBTWBT1.7810won+8-786
20.08.26FaZe – VitalityFaZe1.6810lost-10-794
20.08.26B8 – SpiritSpirit1.5610won+6-784
20.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – benched godsex-Zero Tenacity1.7710lost-10-790
20.08.26Lavked – UNiTYUNiTY1.8310won+8-780
20.08.26Honvéd – SAW YoungstersHonvéd1.6710won+7-788
20.08.26Falcons – The MongolZFalcons1.5210won+5-795
20.08.26Natus Vincere – LegacyNatus Vincere1.8710lost-10-800
20.08.26ex-Sashi Academy – Noir Verseex-Sashi Academy1.8210lost-10-790
20.08.26Bushido Wildcats – RaccoonsBushido Wildcats1.5710won+6-780
20.08.26G2 Ares – BebopG2 Ares1.8010won+8-786
19.08.26GamerLegion – MOUZMOUZ1.5510won+6-794
19.08.26FURIA – AuroraAurora1.7710lost-10-799
19.08.26Honvéd – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.4210lost-10-789
19.08.26Permitta – Falcons ForcePermitta1.7710lost-10-779
19.08.26The Last Resort – OGOG1.8010won+8-769
19.08.26PCIFIC – SPARTAPCIFIC1.8010lost-10-777
19.08.26Metizport – Fire FluxFire Flux1.8510lost-10-767
19.08.26EAC – ColorEAC1.7810lost-10-757
19.08.26Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRITHYPERSPIRIT1.6810won+7-747
19.08.26FUT – magicmagic1.8410lost-10-754
19.08.26G2 – AstralisG21.7410won+7-744
19.08.26Black Phoenix – Bushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats1.4310lost-10-752
19.08.26Enjoy – ex-Zero TenacityEnjoy1.6710lost-10-742
19.08.26Lavked – ReviseRevise1.6710lost-10-732
19.08.26Permitta – EACEAC1.7210won+7-722
19.08.26Noir Verse – ENCEENCE1.6510lost-10-729
19.08.26Misa – The Last ResortThe Last Resort1.6710won+7-719
19.08.26Mai Tai – HonvédHonvéd1.4910won+5-725
19.08.26Entropy – Fire FluxFire Flux1.6710won+7-730
19.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTASPARTA1.7410won+7-737
19.08.26Black Phoenix – RaccoonsBlack Phoenix1.8310lost-10-745
19.08.26SAW Youngsters – ex-MANAex-MANA1.8510lost-10-735
19.08.26G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacityex-Zero Tenacity1.7810won+8-725
19.08.26HYPERSPIRIT – PermittaHYPERSPIRIT1.7810won+8-732
19.08.26Misa – ex-Sashi Academyex-Sashi Academy1.8110won+8-740
19.08.26GenOne – UNiTYGenOne1.5010won+5-748
19.08.26Bushido Wildcats – Endless JourneyBushido Wildcats1.4310won+4-753
19.08.26Inner Circle Academy – MOUZ NXTInner Circle Academy1.8510won+8-758
18.08.26Misa – Strael BoraStrael Bora1.7310lost-10-766
18.08.26Lavked – HAVULavked1.8410lost-10-756
18.08.26Color – The Last ResortThe Last Resort1.8610lost-10-746
18.08.26Fortress – PermittaPermitta1.5410won+5-736
18.08.26Fire Flux – PCIFICFire Flux1.8210lost-10-741
18.08.26Omega – EntropyOmega1.4610lost-10-731
18.08.26Honvéd – Noir VerseHonvéd1.8110won+8-721
18.08.26Metizport – SPARTASPARTA1.8810lost-10-730
18.08.26DONSTU – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT1.7710won+8-720
18.08.26EAC – OGEAC1.7410lost-10-727
18.08.26Entropy – PCIFICPCIFIC1.7010won+7-717
18.08.26Leo – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.7810won+8-724
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – VexarVexar1.7810lost-10-732
18.08.26Bushido Wildcats – MisaBushido Wildcats1.3010won+3-722
18.08.26WBT – Mai TaiWBT1.3610won+4-725
18.08.26Color – MisaColor1.7510won+8-729
18.08.26Permitta – OGPermitta1.8410lost-10-736
18.08.26Metizport – DONSTUMetizport1.7010won+7-726
18.08.26Strael Bora – The Last ResortThe Last Resort1.8610won+9-733
18.08.26MOUZ NXT – SPARTASPARTA1.8010won+8-742
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.