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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-2098u
ROI
-3.8%
win rate
57%
bets
5546
drawdown
220.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-70u
period 6top-up-260u
period 5top-up-507u
period 4top-up-660u
period 3top-up-395u
period 2top-up-145u
period 1top-up-61u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale47453%-669-4.6%81%Select
1% of bankroll554657%-1841-3.9%189.8%Select
Flat (10 units)554657%-2098-3.8%220.8%Select
2% of bankroll554657%-3236-3.9%330%Select
5% of bankroll554657%-5579-4%566.6%Select
10% of bankroll554657%-6709-3.9%352.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5546, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5510won+5-1098
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6610won+7-1104
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-10-1110
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+9-1100
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7410lost-10-1109
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6510won+6-1099
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7210lost-10-1105
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4-1095
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8-1100
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10-1108
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7-1098
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4-1105
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.8510lost-10-1109
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.5310won+5-1099
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6710won+7-1104
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7610won+8-1111
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8710won+9-1118
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6-1127
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10-1133
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+8-1123
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7-1131
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+7-1138
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademySpirit Academy1.6310lost-10-1145
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8210lost-10-1135
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8310won+8-1125
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECNuclear TigeRES1.7010lost-10-1133
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6710won+7-1123
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6210won+6-1130
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden Hordeex-RUSTEC1.5810won+6-1136
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+8-1142
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5-1150
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.8310won+8-1154
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.4510lost-10-1162
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+7-1152
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5-1160
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3410won+3-1164
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6610lost-10-1168
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5-1158
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8-1163
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7510won+8-1171
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.7410lost-10-1178
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10-1168
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5-1158
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.8110lost-10-1163
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7510won+8-1153
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7410lost-10-1161
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8-1151
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10-1159
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6610won+7-1149
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEDENDELE1.8710lost-10-1156
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5-1146
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7210won+7-1151
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10-1158
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsNT1.7910lost-10-1148
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6-1138
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8710lost-10-1143
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8110won+8-1133
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6510lost-10-1141
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+5-1131
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10-1136
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.