Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
-3494u
ROI
-9%
win rate
55%
bets
548
drawdown
365.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-389u
period 6top-up-740u
period 5top-up-770u
period 4top-up-196u
period 3top-up-311u
period 2top-up-708u
period 1top-up-379u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 548 | 55% | -356 | -6.5% | 39% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -361 | -6.8% | 39.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 444 | 54% | -588 | -4.9% | 73.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -728 | -7.1% | 78.9% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -1831 | -7.9% | 195.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 548 | 55% | -3494 | -9% | 365.8% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 548, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FURIA – BETBOOM | FURIA | 1.75 | 57 | won | +43 | -2494 |
| 14.10.26 | G2 Ares – The Last Resort | G2 Ares | 1.77 | 53 | won | +41 | -2536 |
| 14.10.26 | PCIFIC – Ryvex | Ryvex | 1.86 | 59 | lost | -59 | -2577 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 56 | won | +21 | -2518 |
| 14.10.26 | HOTU – Astralis | HOTU | 1.58 | 63 | lost | -63 | -2540 |
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | Enjoy | 1.87 | 58 | won | +50 | -2477 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 54 | won | +38 | -2527 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | Liquid | 1.70 | 50 | won | +35 | -2565 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 48 | won | +25 | -2601 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.72 | 45 | won | +32 | -2626 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 50 | lost | -50 | -2658 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 55 | lost | -55 | -2609 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 52 | won | +26 | -2554 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Lavked | 1.53 | 50 | won | +27 | -2580 |
| 10.10.26 | Desi Boyz – EMPIRE | Desi Boyz | 1.83 | 55 | lost | -55 | -2606 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.80 | 51 | won | +41 | -2551 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | Misa | 1.73 | 57 | lost | -57 | -2592 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 53 | won | +40 | -2535 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 59 | lost | -59 | -2575 |
| 09.10.26 | New Legends – Wanted Goons | New Legends | 1.58 | 65 | lost | -65 | -2516 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 64 | won | +16 | -2450 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 71 | lost | -71 | -2467 |
| 08.10.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nexus | CYBERSHOKE | 1.82 | 79 | lost | -79 | -2396 |
| 08.10.26 | THE UNIT – The KnockoutX | The KnockoutX | 1.82 | 73 | won | +60 | -2317 |
| 08.10.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Banda Chuya | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.81 | 67 | won | +55 | -2377 |
| 08.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – Procyon | Bounty Hunters | 1.82 | 62 | won | +51 | -2432 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 69 | lost | -69 | -2483 |
| 07.10.26 | Lazer Cats – NAVI Junior | Lazer Cats | 1.73 | 77 | lost | -77 | -2414 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 85 | lost | -85 | -2337 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Vexar | 1.31 | 95 | lost | -95 | -2252 |
| 07.10.26 | LFO 10 – MAYBE | LFO 10 | 1.77 | 88 | won | +68 | -2157 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | OG | 1.41 | 84 | won | +35 | -2225 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | OG | 1.56 | 94 | lost | -94 | -2260 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | PURE | 1.53 | 89 | won | +47 | -2166 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | LPH | 1.60 | 99 | lost | -99 | -2213 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 92 | won | +74 | -2114 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | Spirit | 1.55 | 102 | lost | -102 | -2189 |
| 05.10.26 | PARIVISION – FURIA | FURIA | 1.59 | 96 | won | +56 | -2087 |
| 03.10.26 | Aurora – 9z | Aurora | 1.61 | 91 | won | +56 | -2143 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 86 | won | +47 | -2199 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 83 | won | +25 | -2246 |
| 02.10.26 | FOKUS – BBL | FOKUS | 1.72 | 93 | lost | -93 | -2271 |
| 02.10.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Glitch | BASEMENT BOYS | 1.68 | 87 | won | +59 | -2178 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 84 | won | +27 | -2238 |
| 02.10.26 | Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl | Nexus | 1.63 | 93 | lost | -93 | -2265 |
| 02.10.26 | Luminosity – BIG | Luminosity | 1.86 | 86 | won | +74 | -2171 |
| 02.10.26 | Fire Flux – benched gods | Fire Flux | 1.68 | 80 | won | +55 | -2245 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Sangal | 1.72 | 75 | won | +54 | -2300 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 83 | lost | -83 | -2354 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 79 | won | +43 | -2271 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.24 | 77 | won | +18 | -2313 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 86 | lost | -86 | -2332 |
| 01.10.26 | Yawara – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.87 | 95 | lost | -95 | -2246 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | SINQU | 1.84 | 106 | lost | -106 | -2150 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 100 | won | +60 | -2044 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.48 | 25 | won | +12 | -2105 |
| 29.09.26 | MAYBE – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.55 | 28 | lost | -28 | -2117 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 31 | lost | -31 | -2089 |
| 29.09.26 | DEPO – PAQT | DEPO | 1.57 | 34 | lost | -34 | -2058 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Leo | 1.64 | 38 | lost | -38 | -2024 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.