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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-6709u
ROI
-3.9%
win rate
57%
bets
5546
drawdown
352.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-927u
period 6top-up-999u
period 5top-up-1000u
period 4top-up-1000u
period 3top-up-998u
period 2top-up-995u
period 1top-up-790u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale47453%-669-4.6%81%Select
1% of bankroll554657%-1841-3.9%189.8%Select
Flat (10 units)554657%-2098-3.8%220.8%Select
2% of bankroll554657%-3236-3.9%330%Select
5% of bankroll554657%-5579-4%566.6%Select
10% of bankroll554657%-6709-3.9%352.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Selected
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 5546, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.557won+4-5709
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.667won+4-5713
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.467lost-7-5717
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.877won+6-5710
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.747lost-7-5716
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.657won+5-5708
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.728lost-8-5713
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.437won+3-5705
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.787won+5-5708
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.608lost-8-5714
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.717won+5-5706
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.407won+3-5711
13.10.26Liquid – JiJieHaoJiJieHao1.858lost-8-5714
13.10.26Walczaki – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.537won+4-5706
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.677won+5-5710
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.766won+5-5715
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.876won+5-5720
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.605won+3-5725
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.766lost-6-5728
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.806won+4-5722
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.705won+4-5726
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.715won+4-5730
13.10.26BAKS – Spirit AcademySpirit Academy1.635lost-5-5733
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.826lost-6-5728
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.836won+5-5722
13.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ex-RUSTECNuclear TigeRES1.706lost-6-5727
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.676won+4-5720
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.626won+3-5724
12.10.26ex-RUSTEC – The Golden Hordeex-RUSTEC1.585won+3-5728
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.785won+4-5731
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.455won+2-5734
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.834won+4-5736
12.10.26GenOne – The Golden HordeGenOne1.455lost-5-5740
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.724won+3-5735
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.464won+2-5738
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.344won+1-5740
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.665lost-5-5742
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.534won+2-5737
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.794won+3-5740
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.754won+3-5743
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.744lost-4-5746
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.775lost-5-5741
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.504won+2-5737
12.10.26Inner Circle – SangalSangal1.815lost-5-5739
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.755won+3-5734
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.745lost-5-5738
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.825won+4-5732
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.825lost-5-5736
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.665won+3-5731
12.10.26Wildcard – DENDELEDENDELE1.875lost-5-5734
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.485won+2-5729
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.725won+3-5731
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.355lost-5-5735
11.10.26NT – Johnny SpeedsNT1.796lost-6-5730
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.556won+3-5724
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.876lost-6-5727
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.816won+5-5720
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.656lost-6-5725
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.476won+3-5719
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.537lost-7-5722
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.