Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
-510u
ROI
-1.9%
win rate
58%
bets
543
drawdown
73.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-87u
period 6top-up-345u
period 5top-up-453u
period 4profit withdrawn+479u
period 3top-up-286u
period 2top-up-4u
period 1profit withdrawn+186u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 543 | 58% | +931 | +8% | 18.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 543 | 58% | -81 | -1.5% | 19.5% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -86 | -1.6% | 20% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -182 | -1.7% | 36.7% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -510 | -1.9% | 73.7% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 543 | 58% | -1133 | -2.1% | 110.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 543, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | GenOne | 1.55 | 48 | lost | -48 | 490 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 46 | won | +33 | 538 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – JiJieHao | 100 Thieves | 1.80 | 45 | won | +36 | 505 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 43 | won | +23 | 469 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Galorys | 1.48 | 42 | won | +20 | 446 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 45 | lost | -45 | 426 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 47 | lost | -47 | 471 |
| 11.10.26 | benched gods – Illyrians | benched gods | 1.86 | 50 | lost | -50 | 518 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Abyssal | 1.51 | 48 | won | +25 | 567 |
| 10.10.26 | FarmVille – Wanted Goons | FarmVille | 1.47 | 51 | lost | -51 | 543 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Procyon | 1.73 | 49 | won | +36 | 593 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | Misa | 1.73 | 52 | lost | -52 | 558 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | mellren | 1.36 | 54 | lost | -54 | 609 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 52 | won | +39 | 664 |
| 09.10.26 | Villainous – Reign Above | Reign Above | 1.65 | 55 | lost | -55 | 625 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 58 | lost | -58 | 680 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 61 | lost | -61 | 738 |
| 08.10.26 | EAC – PURE | PURE | 1.70 | 59 | won | +41 | 799 |
| 08.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Chinggis Warriors | Chinggis Warriors | 1.86 | 62 | lost | -62 | 758 |
| 08.10.26 | ENCE – LFO 10 | ENCE | 1.66 | 60 | won | +39 | 820 |
| 08.10.26 | Isurus – MEIA NOITE | Isurus | 1.73 | 58 | won | +42 | 781 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | Sangal | 1.42 | 61 | lost | -61 | 738 |
| 07.10.26 | Lazer Cats – NAVI Junior | Lazer Cats | 1.73 | 64 | lost | -64 | 799 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 1.56 | 68 | lost | -68 | 864 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | Leo | 1.36 | 67 | won | +24 | 931 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Saint Sinners | Vexar | 1.61 | 70 | lost | -70 | 907 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Falcons Force | 1.71 | 68 | won | +48 | 977 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – SINQU | G2 Ares | 1.50 | 66 | won | +33 | 930 |
| 07.10.26 | G2 Ares – Falcons Force | G2 Ares | 1.82 | 63 | won | +52 | 897 |
| 07.10.26 | benched gods – Banda Chuya | benched gods | 1.66 | 61 | won | +40 | 845 |
| 06.10.26 | FURIA – Aurora | Aurora | 1.81 | 59 | won | +48 | 805 |
| 06.10.26 | G2 – PARIVISION | G2 | 1.52 | 62 | lost | -62 | 757 |
| 05.10.26 | ShindeN – G2 | G2 | 1.85 | 60 | won | +50 | 819 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 1.68 | 63 | lost | -63 | 768 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.55 | 61 | won | +34 | 831 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Nemiga | 1.30 | 60 | won | +18 | 797 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – BASEMENT BOYS | Eternal Fire | 1.51 | 59 | won | +30 | 779 |
| 02.10.26 | BC.Game – Sashi | BC.Game | 1.70 | 57 | won | +39 | 750 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | SportsBetExpert | 1.32 | 56 | won | +18 | 710 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | Bounty Hunters | 1.64 | 54 | won | +34 | 692 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Voca | 1.61 | 52 | won | +32 | 658 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | UNiTY | 1.76 | 51 | won | +38 | 626 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Sangal | 1.72 | 49 | won | +35 | 587 |
| 02.10.26 | Astralis – FaZe | FaZe | 1.84 | 51 | lost | -51 | 552 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | NEXVOID | 1.54 | 50 | won | +27 | 604 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.68 | 48 | won | +33 | 577 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 1.45 | 51 | lost | -51 | 544 |
| 01.10.26 | Lavked – HYPERSPIRIT | Lavked | 1.81 | 49 | won | +40 | 595 |
| 01.10.26 | SINQU – Famalicão | SINQU | 1.84 | 52 | lost | -52 | 555 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | Mira | 1.60 | 50 | won | +30 | 607 |
| 30.09.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.53 | 32 | won | +17 | 576 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.55 | 34 | lost | -34 | 559 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | WW | 1.63 | 35 | lost | -35 | 593 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | Rune Eaters | 1.67 | 34 | won | +23 | 628 |
| 28.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.87 | 36 | lost | -36 | 605 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | LAG | 1.64 | 35 | won | +22 | 641 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | Marsborne | 1.41 | 34 | won | +14 | 619 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Galorys | 1.43 | 36 | lost | -36 | 605 |
| 27.09.26 | KUUSAMO – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.82 | 35 | won | +28 | 641 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – RBLS | RBLS | 1.82 | 36 | lost | -36 | 612 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.