Model favorite (Elo)
Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.
profit
-5555u
ROI
-8.7%
win rate
55%
bets
1380
drawdown
507.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Model favorite (Elo)
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-678u
period 6top-up-982u
period 5top-up-955u
period 4top-up-848u
period 3top-up-640u
period 2top-up-891u
period 1top-up-562u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 806 | 54% | -290 | -1.3% | 60.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1380 | 55% | -877 | -6.9% | 90.8% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1380 | 55% | -911 | -6.6% | 94.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1380 | 55% | -1682 | -7.1% | 171.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1380 | 55% | -3632 | -7.8% | 353.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1380 | 55% | -5555 | -8.7% | 507.1% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1380, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FURIA – BETBOOM | FURIA | 1.75 | 30 | won | +23 | -4555 |
| 14.10.26 | Butterfly – Nuclear TigeRES | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.61 | 28 | won | +17 | -4578 |
| 14.10.26 | Just Players – FOKUS | Just Players | 1.73 | 31 | lost | -31 | -4595 |
| 14.10.26 | G2 Ares – The Last Resort | G2 Ares | 1.77 | 29 | won | +22 | -4564 |
| 14.10.26 | PCIFIC – Ryvex | Ryvex | 1.86 | 32 | lost | -32 | -4586 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | fnatic | 1.38 | 31 | won | +12 | -4554 |
| 14.10.26 | HOTU – Astralis | HOTU | 1.58 | 35 | lost | -35 | -4566 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | 6666 | 1.49 | 33 | won | +16 | -4531 |
| 14.10.26 | HOTU – fnatic | HOTU | 1.84 | 30 | won | +26 | -4547 |
| 14.10.26 | Enjoy – B8 Academy | Enjoy | 1.87 | 28 | won | +24 | -4573 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | LOS NINOS | 1.78 | 26 | won | +20 | -4597 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | GenOne | 1.60 | 29 | lost | -29 | -4617 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | UPGRADE | 1.71 | 27 | won | +19 | -4589 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Bushido Wildcats | 1.76 | 30 | lost | -30 | -4608 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | Liquid | 1.70 | 28 | won | +20 | -4578 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Sangal | 1.53 | 27 | won | +14 | -4597 |
| 12.10.26 | Enjoy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 1.82 | 25 | won | +20 | -4612 |
| 12.10.26 | Overtake Sector – regain | regain | 1.82 | 27 | lost | -27 | -4632 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | Bounty Hunters | 1.72 | 25 | won | +18 | -4604 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | Imperial | 1.35 | 28 | lost | -28 | -4623 |
| 11.10.26 | BET-M – PRIVATE | BET-M | 1.87 | 31 | lost | -31 | -4594 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 1.53 | 35 | lost | -35 | -4563 |
| 11.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Just Players | Nuclear TigeRES | 1.81 | 32 | won | +26 | -4528 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Just Players | 1.50 | 31 | won | +15 | -4554 |
| 11.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Yawara | Yawara | 1.82 | 34 | lost | -34 | -4569 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Without a Roof | 1.31 | 33 | won | +10 | -4535 |
| 10.10.26 | NRG – Unreal Nightmare | NRG | 1.52 | 32 | won | +16 | -4545 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | 6666 | 1.72 | 29 | won | +21 | -4562 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Lavked | 1.53 | 28 | won | +15 | -4583 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Abyssal | 1.51 | 27 | won | +14 | -4598 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | FlyQuest | 1.45 | 25 | won | +11 | -4612 |
| 10.10.26 | Desi Boyz – EMPIRE | Desi Boyz | 1.83 | 28 | lost | -28 | -4623 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | Club 333 | 1.78 | 31 | lost | -31 | -4595 |
| 10.10.26 | ALKA – MEIA NOITE | ALKA | 1.62 | 35 | lost | -35 | -4563 |
| 10.10.26 | Grêmio – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 1.80 | 32 | won | +26 | -4529 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Spirit | 1.60 | 30 | won | +18 | -4554 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | Leo | 1.48 | 34 | lost | -34 | -4573 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | MOUZ | 1.58 | 32 | won | +19 | -4539 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | Misa | 1.73 | 36 | lost | -36 | -4557 |
| 09.10.26 | BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis Warriors | Chinggis Warriors | 1.69 | 33 | won | +23 | -4522 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | SINNERS | 1.63 | 37 | lost | -37 | -4545 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | HOTU | 1.45 | 35 | won | +16 | -4508 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Black Phoenix | 1.75 | 33 | won | +25 | -4524 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Enjoy | 1.40 | 37 | lost | -37 | -4548 |
| 09.10.26 | New Legends – Wanted Goons | New Legends | 1.58 | 41 | lost | -41 | -4512 |
| 09.10.26 | Grêmio – Yawara | Yawara | 1.75 | 38 | won | +28 | -4471 |
| 09.10.26 | Isurus – ex-Keyd Stars | Isurus | 1.85 | 42 | lost | -42 | -4500 |
| 08.10.26 | INFINITE – G2 Ares | INFINITE | 1.79 | 47 | lost | -47 | -4458 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Leo | 1.26 | 45 | won | +12 | -4411 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | mellren | 1.50 | 50 | lost | -50 | -4423 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | Betclic | 1.73 | 56 | lost | -56 | -4372 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 1.49 | 53 | won | +26 | -4316 |
| 08.10.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Nexus | CYBERSHOKE | 1.82 | 59 | lost | -59 | -4342 |
| 08.10.26 | THE UNIT – The KnockoutX | The KnockoutX | 1.82 | 55 | won | +45 | -4283 |
| 08.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Chinggis Warriors | Chinggis Warriors | 1.86 | 61 | lost | -61 | -4328 |
| 08.10.26 | ENCE – LFO 10 | ENCE | 1.66 | 57 | won | +38 | -4267 |
| 08.10.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Banda Chuya | HYPERSPIRIT | 1.81 | 53 | won | +43 | -4305 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 1.50 | 50 | won | +25 | -4348 |
| 08.10.26 | OG – Sangal | Sangal | 1.63 | 47 | won | +30 | -4373 |
| 08.10.26 | Banda Chuya – Illyrians | Illyrians | 1.66 | 44 | won | +29 | -4403 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.