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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-1682u
ROI
-7.1%
win rate
55%
bets
1380
drawdown
171.2%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-146u
period 6top-up-453u
period 5top-up-377u
period 4top-up-229u
period 3top-up-115u
period 2top-up-245u
period 1top-up-116u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale80654%-290-1.3%60.1%Select
1% of bankroll138055%-877-6.9%90.8%Select
Flat (10 units)138055%-911-6.6%94.5%Select
2% of bankroll138055%-1682-7.1%171.2%Selected
5% of bankroll138055%-3632-7.8%353.4%Select
10% of bankroll138055%-5555-8.7%507.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1380, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMFURIA1.7517won+13-682
14.10.26Butterfly – Nuclear TigeRESNuclear TigeRES1.6117won+10-694
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSJust Players1.7317lost-17-704
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortG2 Ares1.7717won+13-688
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexRyvex1.8617lost-17-700
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3817won+6-683
14.10.26HOTU – AstralisHOTU1.5817lost-17-690
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4917won+8-673
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8417won+14-681
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8717won+14-695
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7816won+13-709
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6017lost-17-722
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7116won+12-706
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7617lost-17-717
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7016won+12-700
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5316won+9-712
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8216won+13-721
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8216lost-16-734
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7216won+12-717
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3516lost-16-729
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8717lost-17-713
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5317lost-17-696
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8117won+14-679
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5017won+8-692
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8217lost-17-701
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3117won+5-684
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareNRG1.5217won+9-689
10.10.26Bebop – 666666661.7217won+12-697
10.10.26Lavked – FortressLavked1.5316won+9-709
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakAbyssal1.5116won+8-718
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsFlyQuest1.4516won+7-726
10.10.26Desi Boyz – EMPIREDesi Boyz1.8316lost-16-734
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEClub 3331.7817lost-17-717
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEALKA1.6217lost-17-701
10.10.26Grêmio – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS1.8017won+13-684
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritSpirit1.6017won+10-697
09.10.26MOUZ NXT – LeoLeo1.4817lost-17-707
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZMOUZ1.5817won+10-690
09.10.26Misa – 6666Misa1.7317lost-17-700
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.6917won+12-683
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSSINNERS1.6317lost-17-694
09.10.26HOTU – AcendHOTU1.4517won+8-677
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoBlack Phoenix1.7517won+13-685
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyEnjoy1.4017lost-17-697
09.10.26New Legends – Wanted GoonsNew Legends1.5817lost-17-680
09.10.26Grêmio – YawaraYawara1.7517won+13-663
09.10.26Isurus – ex-Keyd StarsIsurus1.8518lost-18-676
08.10.26INFINITE – G2 AresINFINITE1.7918lost-18-658
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerLeo1.2618won+5-640
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenmellren1.5018lost-18-645
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEBetclic1.7319lost-19-627
08.10.26megoshort – Fire FluxFire Flux1.4918won+9-608
08.10.26CYBERSHOKE – NexusCYBERSHOKE1.8219lost-19-617
08.10.26THE UNIT – The KnockoutXThe KnockoutX1.8218won+15-598
08.10.26Lynn Vision – Chinggis WarriorsChinggis Warriors1.8619lost-19-614
08.10.26ENCE – LFO 10ENCE1.6619won+12-595
08.10.26HYPERSPIRIT – Banda ChuyaHYPERSPIRIT1.8118won+15-607
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseNoir Verse1.5018won+9-622
08.10.26OG – SangalSangal1.6318won+11-631
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansIllyrians1.6618won+12-642
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.