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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-5375u
ROI
-5%
win rate
57%
bets
2827
drawdown
330.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-438u
period 6top-up-987u
period 5top-up-990u
period 4top-up-962u
period 3top-up-953u
period 2top-up-984u
period 1top-up-62u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale18656%-638-12.7%77.4%Select
1% of bankroll282757%-952-3.7%104%Select
Flat (10 units)282757%-976-3.5%107.9%Select
2% of bankroll282757%-1828-3.9%179.1%Select
5% of bankroll282757%-3800-4.3%292.2%Select
10% of bankroll282757%-5375-5%330.3%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2827, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10FORZE Reload1.4754won+25-4375
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUHOTU1.7760lost-60-4400
14.10.26PCIFIC – RyvexRyvex1.8666lost-66-4340
14.10.26fnatic – Sashifnatic1.3864won+24-4274
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4961won+30-4298
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8456won+47-4328
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6653won+35-4376
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4659lost-59-4410
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7465lost-65-4352
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5572lost-72-4286
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6568won+44-4214
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7275lost-75-4258
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4372won+31-4183
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7867won+52-4214
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6075lost-75-4266
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7170won+49-4192
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4067won+27-4241
13.10.26100 Thieves – Liquid100 Thieves1.7662won+47-4268
13.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – MartiansQUINTESSÊNCIA1.8757won+50-4315
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7664lost-64-4364
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8059won+47-4301
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7055won+39-4348
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7151won+37-4386
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8257lost-57-4423
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6254won+33-4366
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7850won+39-4399
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4548won+22-4438
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7245won+32-4460
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4643won+19-4492
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3441won+14-4511
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7938won+30-4525
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5336won+19-4555
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7534won+25-4575
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7737lost-37-4600
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5036won+18-4563
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7533won+25-4580
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8231won+25-4605
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.6629won+19-4631
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4827won+13-4650
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3530lost-30-4663
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5529won+16-4632
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8732lost-32-4648
11.10.26XI – ASTRALASTRAL1.6536lost-36-4616
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5340lost-40-4580
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8137won+30-4541
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2936won+10-4570
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4034won+14-4581
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6032won+19-4594
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5036lost-36-4614
11.10.26Just Players – MisaJust Players1.5034won+17-4578
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6938lost-38-4595
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6936won+25-4557
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7333won+24-4581
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6337lost-37-4605
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6235won+22-4569
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6533won+21-4590
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6930won+21-4611
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8234lost-34-4632
11.10.26Bounty Hunters – LPBounty Hunters1.8638lost-38-4598
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8542lost-42-4561
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.