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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-3828u
ROI
-4.2%
win rate
57%
bets
2823
drawdown
299.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-416u
period 6top-up-755u
period 5top-up-904u
period 4top-up-624u
period 3top-up-590u
period 2top-up-640u
period 1profit withdrawn+100u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale164556%+934+2.2%40.5%Select
1% of bankroll282357%-898-3.4%96.8%Select
Flat (10 units)282357%-912-3.2%98.7%Select
2% of bankroll282357%-1751-3.6%170.4%Select
5% of bankroll282357%-3828-4.2%299.4%Selected
10% of bankroll282357%-5602-5%375.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2823, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4929won+14-2828
14.10.26HOTU – fnaticHOTU1.8427won+23-2842
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6626won+17-2865
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4628lost-28-2883
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5529lost-29-2855
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedGothic1.7431lost-31-2825
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6530won+19-2794
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7232lost-32-2814
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4331won+13-2782
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7830won+23-2796
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6031lost-31-2819
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7130won+21-2787
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4030won+12-2809
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6729won+19-2821
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6028won+17-2840
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7629lost-29-2856
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7028won+20-2827
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8027won+22-2847
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7126won+19-2869
13.10.26Overtake Sector – Iowa StormboarOvertake Sector1.8325won+21-2887
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPLP1.6724won+16-2908
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7823won+18-2925
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4523won+10-2943
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7222won+16-2953
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4622won+10-2969
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsPRIVATE1.6623lost-23-2979
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7922won+17-2956
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5321won+11-2974
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7521won+16-2985
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7722lost-22-3001
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5021won+11-2979
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYFruju1.7422lost-22-2989
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8221won+18-2967
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8223lost-23-2985
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters1.7222won+16-2962
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3523lost-23-2978
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5522won+12-2955
11.10.26BET-M – PRIVATEBET-M1.8723lost-23-2967
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4723won+11-2944
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8122won+18-2954
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5323lost-23-2972
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2923won+7-2949
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4022won+9-2956
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6022won+13-2965
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5023lost-23-2978
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8624lost-24-2955
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6925lost-25-2931
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7324won+18-2905
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6924won+16-2923
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6325lost-25-2939
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6224won+15-2914
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainregain1.6523won+15-2930
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGFlyQuest1.4223won+10-2945
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEGalorys1.4122won+9-2954
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7124lost-24-2964
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8525lost-25-2940
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7726lost-26-2915
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8225won+21-2889
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4225won+10-2910
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3124won+8-2920
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.