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Model favorite (Elo)

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

profit
-669u
ROI
-2.4%
win rate
58%
bets
2823
drawdown
87.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Model favorite (Elo)

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+117u
period 6top-up-317u
period 5top-up-350u
period 4top-up-54u
period 3top-up-80u
period 2top-up-85u
period 1profit withdrawn+101u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale51657%-592-4.3%82.4%Select
1% of bankroll282358%-634-2.4%82.4%Select
Flat (10 units)282358%-669-2.4%87.5%Select
2% of bankroll282358%-1192-2.5%134.1%Selected
5% of bankroll282358%-2431-2.5%208.9%Select
10% of bankroll282358%-3670-2.7%246.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2823, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 666666661.4910won+5331
14.10.26Astralis – SashiAstralis1.5510won+5326
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterRooster1.6610won+7321
14.10.269z – AuroraAurora1.4610lost-10314
14.10.26Enjoy – B8 AcademyEnjoy1.8710won+9324
14.10.26GenOne – 6666GenOne1.5510lost-10316
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorOvertake Sector1.6510won+6326
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANSUKEBAN1.7210lost-10319
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – GalorysGalorys1.4310won+4329
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSLOS NINOS1.7810won+8325
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyGenOne1.6010lost-10317
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaUPGRADE1.7110won+7327
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 6666Black Phoenix1.4010won+4320
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLJiJieHao1.6710won+7316
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6309
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansBushido Wildcats1.7610lost-10303
13.10.26Liquid – BBLLiquid1.7010won+7313
13.10.26100 Thieves – JiJieHao100 Thieves1.8010won+8306
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterRooster1.7110won+7298
13.10.26Chicken Coop – ZomblersZomblers1.8210lost-10291
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersGalorys1.6210won+6301
12.10.266666 – megoshort66661.7810won+8295
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsNuclear TigeRES1.4510won+5287
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansIllyrians1.7210won+7283
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.4610won+5276
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XINuclear TigeRES1.3410won+3271
12.10.26Inner Circle – Ninjas in PyjamasNinjas in Pyjamas1.7910won+8268
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicSangal1.5310won+5260
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingLynn Vision1.7510won+8254
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenFire Flux1.7710lost-10247
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicNinjas in Pyjamas1.5010won+5257
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8Rooster1.7510won+8252
12.10.26Enjoy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8210won+8244
12.10.26Overtake Sector – regainregain1.8210lost-10236
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysGalorys1.4810won+5246
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialImperial1.3510lost-10241
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC1.5510won+6251
11.10.26mellren – Lavkedmellren1.4710won+5246
11.10.26antidaun – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners1.8110won+8241
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy1.5310lost-10233
11.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Just PlayersNuclear TigeRES1.8110won+8243
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaGenOne1.2910won+3235
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenmellren1.4010won+4232
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoAlter Ego1.6010won+6228
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritSpirit1.5010lost-10222
11.10.26benched gods – Illyriansbenched gods1.8610lost-10232
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910lost-10242
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestFlyQuest1.6910won+7252
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGAbyssal1.7310won+7245
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarIowa Stormboar1.7310lost-10238
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopOvertake Sector1.6310lost-10248
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEDETONATE1.6210won+6258
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalGround Zero1.6910won+7252
11.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – YawaraYawara1.8210lost-10245
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSProcyon1.7110lost-10255
10.10.26NRG – WildcardNRG1.8510lost-10265
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertMarsborne1.7710lost-10275
10.10.26FaZe – NAVI JuniorFaZe1.8210won+8285
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert1.4210won+4277
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USWithout a Roof1.3110won+3272
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Model favorite (Elo)" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.