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CS2 betting strategies

Backtested on 2466 matches with historical odds
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
Your strategy: Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 · 2% of bankrollits recommendations show up on match pages
All results are computed on historical matches: probability is built walk-forward with Elo, and stake size scales off a 1000-unit bankroll. "Bankroll reset" sets how often the bankroll returns to its starting sum — profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up.
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+1414u
profit
+9.4%
ROI
48%
win rate
65.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+603u
profit
+6.2%
ROI
47%
win rate
38.7%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+586u
profit
+2.4%
ROI
47%
win rate
93.3%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+522u
profit
+7.1%
ROI
48%
win rate
35.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+180u
profit
+0.7%
ROI
47%
win rate
93.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+160u
profit
+80%
ROI
50%
win rate
10%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+158u
profit
+5.4%
ROI
48%
win rate
22.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+80u
profit
+80%
ROI
50%
win rate
5%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+70u
profit
+4.8%
ROI
48%
win rate
13.6%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+61u
profit
+4.2%
ROI
48%
win rate
14%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+42u
profit
+140%
ROI
50%
win rate
1%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+39u
profit
+0.3%
ROI
47%
win rate
52.2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+32u
profit
+80%
ROI
50%
win rate
2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+16u
profit
+80%
ROI
50%
win rate
1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+16u
profit
+80%
ROI
50%
win rate
1%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-34u
profit
-37.9%
ROI
44%
win rate
4.2%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-34u
profit
-37.9%
ROI
44%
win rate
4.2%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-38u
profit
-17.2%
ROI
44%
win rate
7.3%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-41u
profit
-1.6%
ROI
47%
win rate
17.9%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-55u
profit
-2.2%
ROI
47%
win rate
18.6%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-57u
profit
-1.1%
ROI
47%
win rate
30.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-62u
profit
-2.5%
ROI
47%
win rate
18.2%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-68u
profit
-37.8%
ROI
44%
win rate
8.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-74u
profit
-2.9%
ROI
47%
win rate
18.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-104u
profit
-2.1%
ROI
47%
win rate
31.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-110u
profit
-0.9%
ROI
47%
win rate
51.6%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-167u
profit
-37.8%
ROI
44%
win rate
20.8%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-171u
profit
-6.8%
ROI
53%
win rate
34.2%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-171u
profit
-6.8%
ROI
53%
win rate
34.2%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-181u
profit
-7.1%
ROI
53%
win rate
34.9%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-181u
profit
-7.1%
ROI
53%
win rate
34.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-323u
profit
-6.4%
ROI
53%
win rate
62.5%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-323u
profit
-6.4%
ROI
53%
win rate
62.5%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-329u
profit
-37.6%
ROI
44%
win rate
41%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-669u
profit
-5.4%
ROI
53%
win rate
121.9%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-669u
profit
-5.4%
ROI
53%
win rate
121.9%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-919u
profit
-3.8%
ROI
53%
win rate
170.6%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-919u
profit
-3.8%
ROI
53%
win rate
170.6%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-1020u
profit
-98.1%
ROI
13%
win rate
102%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1130u
profit
-66.3%
ROI
33%
win rate
112.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1566u
profit
-16.6%
ROI
49%
win rate
149%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1566u
profit
-16.6%
ROI
49%
win rate
149%
drawdown
CS2 betting strategies checked on history: backing the favorite, the underdog at odds 2+, value bets and different bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units.