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CS2 betting strategies

Backtested on 5551 matches with historical odds
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
Your strategy: Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0 · 2% of bankrollits recommendations show up on match pages
All results are computed on historical matches: probability is built walk-forward with Elo, and stake size scales off a 1000-unit bankroll. "Bankroll reset" sets how often the bankroll returns to its starting sum — profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up.
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+300u
profit
+18.6%
ROI
38%
win rate
19%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+299u
profit
+88%
ROI
38%
win rate
3%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+151u
profit
+18.8%
ROI
38%
win rate
9.8%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+61u
profit
+19%
ROI
38%
win rate
4%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+31u
profit
+19.1%
ROI
38%
win rate
2%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+30u
profit
+19%
ROI
38%
win rate
2%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-68u
profit
-11.6%
ROI
63%
win rate
7.5%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-69u
profit
-11.7%
ROI
63%
win rate
7.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-79u
profit
-1.5%
ROI
58%
win rate
21.8%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-79u
profit
-1.5%
ROI
58%
win rate
21.8%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-82u
profit
-1.5%
ROI
58%
win rate
21.8%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-82u
profit
-1.5%
ROI
58%
win rate
21.8%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-84u
profit
-7.6%
ROI
63%
win rate
16.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-86u
profit
-0.6%
ROI
58%
win rate
67.6%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-86u
profit
-0.6%
ROI
58%
win rate
67.6%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-139u
profit
-11.8%
ROI
63%
win rate
15.1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-160u
profit
-4.6%
ROI
42%
win rate
29.1%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-167u
profit
-4.7%
ROI
42%
win rate
29.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-169u
profit
-1.6%
ROI
58%
win rate
38.6%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-169u
profit
-1.6%
ROI
58%
win rate
38.6%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-307u
profit
-4.4%
ROI
42%
win rate
57.9%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-355u
profit
-12.2%
ROI
63%
win rate
37.7%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-469u
profit
-1.7%
ROI
58%
win rate
73.6%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-469u
profit
-1.7%
ROI
58%
win rate
73.6%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-518u
profit
-9.7%
ROI
42%
win rate
65.2%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-524u
profit
-9.6%
ROI
42%
win rate
65.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-537u
profit
-10%
ROI
42%
win rate
67.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-543u
profit
-10%
ROI
42%
win rate
67.7%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-668u
profit
-3.9%
ROI
42%
win rate
140.3%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

-737u
profit
-12.8%
ROI
63%
win rate
75.5%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-857u
profit
-31.6%
ROI
33%
win rate
87.5%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-857u
profit
-29.9%
ROI
33%
win rate
87.5%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-1021u
profit
-3.1%
ROI
42%
win rate
255.8%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-1024u
profit
-9.7%
ROI
42%
win rate
128.7%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-1060u
profit
-10%
ROI
42%
win rate
131.6%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

-1141u
profit
-2.1%
ROI
58%
win rate
114.6%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

-1141u
profit
-2.1%
ROI
58%
win rate
114.6%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weeklyruin

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

-2112u
profit
-42.9%
ROI
38%
win rate
193.3%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-2459u
profit
-9.7%
ROI
42%
win rate
311.3%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-2541u
profit
-10%
ROI
42%
win rate
308.2%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

-4539u
profit
-9.5%
ROI
42%
win rate
593.4%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

-4683u
profit
-10%
ROI
42%
win rate
556.1%
drawdown
selected
Always the favorite
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Always the underdog
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model favorite (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's favorite — the team the model gives over 50% to win, regardless of odds. Pits the model's view against the market.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Model underdog (Elo)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Bets the Elo model's underdog — the team with under 50% probability. Often the market underdog too, but driven by form and rating rather than the odds.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value: edge ≥ 5%
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Value bets: only bet when odds × model probability − 1 ≥ 5%, i.e. the market underrates the outcome. The core "value" strategy: positive expected value matters more than the hit rate.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS21% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS22% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Quarter Kellypayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
selected
Value on underdog (odds ≥ 2)
CSCS2Martingalepayout: weekly

Value on the underdog: the same ≥ 5% edge, but only on a team at odds ≥ 2.0. Hunting underrated dogs — rarer, with bigger payouts.

+0u
profit
+0%
ROI
0%
win rate
0%
drawdown
CS2 betting strategies checked on history: backing the favorite, the underdog at odds 2+, value bets and different bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units.