Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-20184u
ROI
-91.3%
win rate
4%
bets
487
drawdown
2018.4%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
10% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-469u
period 24top-up-850u
period 23top-up-883u
period 22top-up-926u
period 21top-up-899u
period 20top-up-850u
period 19top-up-794u
period 18top-up-847u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1070 | -100% | 107% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 487 | 4% | -3971 | -89.3% | 397.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 487 | 4% | -4336 | -89% | 433.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 487 | 4% | -7292 | -89.5% | 729.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 487 | 4% | -14329 | -90.2% | 1432.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 476 | 3% | -18473 | -94.4% | 1847.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 487 | 4% | -20184 | -91.3% | 2018.4% | Selected |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 487, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 59 | lost | -59 | -19184 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 15.00 | 66 | lost | -66 | -19125 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 10.00 | 73 | lost | -73 | -19059 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | GLYPH | 14.00 | 81 | lost | -81 | -18986 |
| 02.08.26 | Vici Gaming – OG | OG | 13.00 | 90 | lost | -90 | -18905 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | VooDooSh Team | 4.20 | 100 | lost | -100 | -18815 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | BETBOOM Team | 11.00 | 17 | lost | -17 | -18715 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Yakult Brothers | 14.00 | 19 | lost | -19 | -18699 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 11.00 | 21 | lost | -21 | -18680 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 3.00 | 23 | lost | -23 | -18660 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Nigma Galaxy | 13.00 | 25 | lost | -25 | -18637 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team | Nigma Galaxy | 14.00 | 28 | lost | -28 | -18611 |
| 29.07.26 | Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH Team | Rostik Team | 10.00 | 31 | lost | -31 | -18583 |
| 28.07.26 | NS Team – TpaBoMaH Team | NS Team | 13.00 | 35 | lost | -35 | -18552 |
| 27.07.26 | NS Team – Rostik Team | Rostik Team | 3.60 | 39 | lost | -39 | -18517 |
| 20.07.26 | Zero Tenacity – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 3.60 | 43 | lost | -43 | -18478 |
| 17.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM Team | Nigma Galaxy | 15.00 | 48 | lost | -48 | -18435 |
| 12.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Nemesis | Team Nemesis | 2.90 | 53 | lost | -53 | -18387 |
| 11.07.26 | PlayTime – Nigma Galaxy | PlayTime | 5.80 | 59 | lost | -59 | -18334 |
| 10.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Spirit | REKONIX | 15.00 | 66 | lost | -66 | -18275 |
| 08.07.26 | Team Yandex – Inner Circle | Inner Circle | 15.00 | 73 | lost | -73 | -18209 |
| 08.07.26 | GamerLegion – Xtreme Gaming | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 81 | lost | -81 | -18136 |
| 08.07.26 | Poor Rangers – BETBOOM Team | Poor Rangers | 15.00 | 90 | lost | -90 | -18055 |
| 07.07.26 | Inner Circle – 1w Team | Inner Circle | 15.00 | 100 | lost | -100 | -17965 |
| 28.06.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Yellow Submarine | Yellow Submarine | 5.80 | 13 | lost | -13 | -17865 |
| 28.06.26 | By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE Team | ALOHADANCE Team | 13.00 | 14 | lost | -14 | -17852 |
| 27.06.26 | Natus Vincere – L1ga Team | Natus Vincere | 2.25 | 16 | lost | -16 | -17838 |
| 25.06.26 | Team Spirit – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 12.00 | 18 | lost | -18 | -17822 |
| 24.06.26 | Recrent Team – Stray Team | Recrent Team | 10.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | -17804 |
| 24.06.26 | Dread Team – DangerLyoha Team | DangerLyoha Team | 3.20 | 22 | lost | -22 | -17784 |
| 21.06.26 | InterActive Philippines – Mentality Monster | InterActive Philippines | 10.00 | 25 | lost | -25 | -17762 |
| 21.06.26 | Grind Back – Carstensz Esports | Carstensz Esports | 13.00 | 27 | lost | -27 | -17738 |
| 19.06.26 | summer bear – Power Rangers | summer bear | 13.00 | 30 | lost | -30 | -17710 |
| 17.06.26 | Power Rangers – Flame Esports | Flame Esports | 12.00 | 34 | lost | -34 | -17680 |
| 16.06.26 | Flame Esports – Team Spirit Academy | Flame Esports | 4.20 | 37 | lost | -37 | -17647 |
| 13.06.26 | Estar Backs – Gior Dota Team | Gior Dota Team | 12.00 | 41 | lost | -41 | -17609 |
| 11.06.26 | Phenomenon – NA Last Hope | Phenomenon | 2.90 | 35 | won | +66 | -17568 |
| 11.06.26 | Team Nemesis – Gior Dota Team | Gior Dota Team | 12.00 | 39 | lost | -39 | -17634 |
| 10.06.26 | L1ga Team – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 11.00 | 43 | lost | -43 | -17595 |
| 07.06.26 | BETBOOM Team – LGD Gaming | BETBOOM Team | 2.25 | 48 | lost | -48 | -17552 |
| 06.06.26 | Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH Club | TpaBoMaH Club | 3.10 | 53 | lost | -53 | -17504 |
| 05.06.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 59 | lost | -59 | -17451 |
| 05.06.26 | Execration – REKONIX | Execration | 13.00 | 66 | lost | -66 | -17392 |
| 04.06.26 | Carstensz Esports – REKONIX | Carstensz Esports | 12.00 | 73 | lost | -73 | -17326 |
| 02.06.26 | L1ga Team – Poor Rangers | L1ga Team | 13.00 | 81 | lost | -81 | -17254 |
| 02.06.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 13.00 | 90 | lost | -90 | -17173 |
| 01.06.26 | Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH Club | TpaBoMaH Club | 6.60 | 100 | lost | -100 | -17083 |
| 30.05.26 | Team Spirit – OG | OG | 15.00 | 8 | lost | -8 | -16983 |
| 29.05.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | Team Yandex | 2.70 | 9 | lost | -9 | -16974 |
| 28.05.26 | NS Club – Ramzes Club | NS Club | 5.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | -16965 |
| 27.05.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Liquid | LGD Gaming | 4.50 | 11 | lost | -11 | -16955 |
| 27.05.26 | OG – Team Yandex | OG | 15.00 | 12 | lost | -12 | -16944 |
| 26.05.26 | PARIVISION – Team Yandex | PARIVISION | 15.00 | 14 | lost | -14 | -16932 |
| 26.05.26 | Team Falcons – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 5.00 | 15 | lost | -15 | -16918 |
| 26.05.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 17 | lost | -17 | -16902 |
| 26.05.26 | GLYPH – LGD Gaming | GLYPH | 2.35 | 19 | lost | -19 | -16885 |
| 24.05.26 | Recrent Team – Solo Team | Recrent Team | 12.00 | 21 | lost | -21 | -16866 |
| 23.05.26 | Miposhka Team – Stray Team | Miposhka Team | 10.00 | 23 | lost | -23 | -16845 |
| 22.05.26 | Aurora Gaming – Tundra Esports | Tundra Esports | 11.00 | 26 | lost | -26 | -16822 |
| 17.05.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 8.50 | 29 | lost | -29 | -16795 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.