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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-2078u
ROI
-36%
win rate
32%
bets
118
drawdown
207.8%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-813u
period 2top-up-847u
period 1top-up-419u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale11832%+714+10.6%50%Select
1% of bankroll11832%-325-29.7%32.5%Select
Flat (10 units)11832%-340-28.8%34%Select
2% of bankroll11832%-619-30.5%61.9%Select
5% of bankroll11832%-1335-32.9%133.5%Select
10% of bankroll11832%-2078-36%207.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 118, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.2821lost-21-1078
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8923lost-23-1058
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4526lost-26-1035
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.5229lost-29-1009
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.4332lost-32-980
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1326won+56-949
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4329lost-29-1004
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.0326won+27-975
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0229lost-29-1002
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.2133lost-33-973
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1136lost-36-941
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.0140lost-40-905
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.5535won+54-864
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.2239lost-39-918
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1243lost-43-880
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.0139won+40-837
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1443lost-43-876
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.3248lost-48-833
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1353lost-53-785
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1959lost-59-732
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2253won+65-672
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1959lost-59-737
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2052won+63-678
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3658lost-58-741
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0865lost-65-683
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0372lost-72-618
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2380lost-80-546
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1189lost-89-466
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0580won+84-377
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1972won+86-461
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0465won+67-547
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0372lost-72-614
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0366won+67-542
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0573lost-73-610
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0681lost-81-537
01.10.26Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAMBETBOOM TEAM2.3990lost-90-456
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.03100lost-100-366
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0714won+15-266
30.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.4612won+18-280
30.09.26Team Spirit – 1w Team1w Team2.2013lost-13-298
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.6815lost-15-285
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7513won+22-270
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.0514lost-14-292
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.1316lost-16-278
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.2317lost-17-262
27.09.26Team Yandex – Natus VincereTeam Yandex2.2515won+19-245
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.0514won+15-264
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4616lost-16-279
26.09.26Natus Vincere – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming2.2217lost-17-263
26.09.26Daxak Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.5919lost-19-246
26.09.26Aurora Gaming – Natus VincereAurora Gaming2.3121lost-21-227
25.09.26YBN Team – TpaBoMaH TeamYBN Team2.1719won+22-206
25.09.26Stray Team – Rostik TeamStray Team2.1817won+20-228
25.09.26Cake Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.1019lost-19-248
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.0117won+17-229
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4315won+22-246
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2117lost-17-268
24.09.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team2.3419lost-19-251
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5421lost-21-233
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.4718won+26-212
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.