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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-552u
ROI
-34.2%
win rate
31%
bets
16
drawdown
55.2%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-105u
period 2top-up-176u
period 1top-up-271u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale1631%-36-5.7%15%Select
Flat (10 units)1631%-53-33.2%5.7%Select
1% of bankroll1631%-53-33.4%5.6%Select
2% of bankroll1631%-107-33.5%11.2%Select
5% of bankroll1631%-272-33.8%27.3%Select
10% of bankroll1631%-552-34.2%55.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 16, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4399lost-99448
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.12110lost-110547
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.13123lost-123658
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.08136lost-136780
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.05123won+130917
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.19110won+131787
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.03100won+103656
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0774won+79553
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4683lost-83474
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2192lost-92556
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.18102lost-102648
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3590won+121750
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.21100lost-100629
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0281lost-81729
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4790lost-90810
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.02100lost-100900
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.