Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-107u
ROI
-33.5%
win rate
31%
bets
16
drawdown
11.2%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-16u
period 2top-up-33u
period 1top-up-59u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 16 | 31% | -36 | -5.7% | 15% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 16 | 31% | -53 | -33.2% | 5.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 16 | 31% | -53 | -33.4% | 5.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 16 | 31% | -107 | -33.5% | 11.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 16 | 31% | -272 | -33.8% | 27.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 16 | 31% | -552 | -34.2% | 55.2% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 16, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.26 | Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit Academy | Team Spirit Academy | 2.43 | 20 | lost | -20 | 893 |
| 11.10.26 | Team Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.12 | 20 | lost | -20 | 913 |
| 08.10.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.13 | 21 | lost | -21 | 933 |
| 06.10.26 | HULIGANI – CyberHero | HULIGANI | 2.08 | 21 | lost | -21 | 954 |
| 03.10.26 | Team Spirit – Team Yandex | Team Spirit | 2.05 | 21 | won | +22 | 975 |
| 03.10.26 | Daxak Team – Cake Team | Cake Team | 2.19 | 20 | won | +24 | 953 |
| 02.10.26 | 1w Team – Team Nemesis | 1w Team | 2.03 | 20 | won | +21 | 929 |
| 30.09.26 | PARIVISION – LGD Gaming | PARIVISION | 2.07 | 19 | won | +20 | 909 |
| 27.09.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | LGD Gaming | 2.46 | 19 | lost | -19 | 888 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere | Team Nemesis | 2.21 | 20 | lost | -20 | 908 |
| 22.09.26 | avice Team – Daxak Team | avice Team | 2.18 | 20 | lost | -20 | 928 |
| 22.09.26 | Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.35 | 20 | won | +26 | 948 |
| 20.09.26 | Inner Circle – Yellow Submarine | Inner Circle | 2.21 | 20 | lost | -20 | 921 |
| 29.08.26 | Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit Academy | Team Spirit Academy | 2.02 | 19 | lost | -19 | 941 |
| 29.08.26 | DYNASTY – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 960 |
| 23.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | PARIVISION | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 980 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.