?

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-23509u
ROI
-87.7%
win rate
4%
bets
4925
drawdown
2340.9%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-896u
period 24top-up-874u
period 23top-up-957u
period 22top-up-989u
period 21top-up-971u
period 20top-up-959u
period 19top-up-986u
period 18top-up-991u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale911%-1000-95.7%100%Select
Flat (10 units)1563%-1318-84.7%131.7%Select
10% of bankroll28754%-14965-90.1%1479.3%Select
1% of bankroll49254%-19817-87%1977.2%Select
2% of bankroll49254%-23509-87.7%2340.9%Select
5% of bankroll49254%-24787-88.9%2456.6%Select
Quarter Kelly48113%-24965-91.9%2496.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4925, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.002lost-2-22509
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.002lost-2-22507
20.08.261w Team – Team Spirit1w Team15.002lost-2-22505
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.002lost-2-22503
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w TeamGamerLegion15.002lost-2-22501
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience14.002lost-2-22498
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamAurora Gaming9.002lost-2-22496
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.002lost-2-22494
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit4.802lost-2-22491
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming6.003lost-3-22489
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsBETBOOM Team2.703lost-3-22486
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.003lost-3-22484
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming14.003lost-3-22481
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.003lost-3-22478
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.003lost-3-22475
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.003lost-3-22473
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.303lost-3-22470
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.003lost-3-22467
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.003lost-3-22464
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Resilience15.003lost-3-22461
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.003lost-3-22458
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.003lost-3-22455
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingTeam Yandex5.303lost-3-22451
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.003lost-3-22448
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Liquid11.003lost-3-22445
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingGamerLegion15.004lost-4-22441
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGOG3.404lost-4-22438
14.08.261w Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons6.604lost-4-22434
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONBETBOOM Team9.004lost-4-22430
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.004lost-4-22427
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming4.204lost-4-22423
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingL1ga Team4.204lost-4-22419
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionXtreme Gaming15.004lost-4-22415
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Yandex4.804lost-4-22411
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.804lost-4-22407
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingTeam Resilience8.504lost-4-22403
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w Team1w Team4.404lost-4-22398
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.004lost-4-22394
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming14.005lost-5-22389
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.005lost-5-22385
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.005lost-5-22380
13.08.261w Team – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy15.005lost-5-22375
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGOG3.205lost-5-22371
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming4.505lost-5-22366
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.005lost-5-22361
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.005lost-5-22355
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.005lost-5-22350
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.005lost-5-22345
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy5.306lost-6-22339
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.006lost-6-22334
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.006lost-6-22328
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereLevel UP15.006lost-6-22322
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.006lost-6-22316
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.006lost-6-22310
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPYellow Submarine14.006lost-6-22304
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseTeam Lynx11.006lost-6-22298
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityIlbirs eSports13.007lost-7-22291
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZPower Rangers7.007lost-7-22285
09.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – Ilbirs eSportsRune Eaters Arise6.006won+30-22278
09.08.26Zero Tenacity – Natus VincereZero Tenacity14.006lost-6-22308
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.