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Always the underdog

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-818u
ROI
-25.9%
win rate
36%
bets
36
drawdown
89.5%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-60u
period 2top-up-622u
period 1top-up-136u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll3636%-97-27.5%10.6%Select
Flat (10 units)3636%-99-27.6%11%Select
Martingale3636%-109-5.3%60.1%Select
2% of bankroll3636%-191-27.4%20.8%Select
5% of bankroll3636%-449-26.9%49.1%Select
10% of bankroll3636%-818-25.9%89.5%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 36, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8986won+77182
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9596lost-96105
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.43107lost-107201
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.95118lost-118308
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.12132lost-132426
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.91121won+109558
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.13134lost-134449
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.08149lost-149583
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.05135won+142731
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.19120won+143590
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.03109won+112447
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.92100won+92334
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0734won+36242
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9538lost-38206
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4642lost-42244
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9247lost-47286
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2152lost-52333
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9658lost-58385
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9764lost-64443
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3557won+76507
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1863lost-63431
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.9557won+55494
21.09.26Aurora Gaming – Team CobraTeam Cobra1.9064lost-64439
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2171lost-71503
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8979lost-79574
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8988lost-88652
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9580won+76740
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9089lost-89664
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9599lost-99753
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.96110lost-110851
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.97100won+97961
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8979won+71864
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0288lost-88794
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4798lost-98882
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8990won+80980
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.02100lost-100900
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.